New War against Ukraine. Why Putin is profitable to stop the hot phase as soon as possible
What are the results of the elections in Georgia and Moldova for Ukraine? What to remember? And how is this related to the prospects of end of war in Ukraine? The amount of so -called. The "deep people", and more simply, inhabitants, always a multiple exceeding passionary, well -educated part of society. Representatives of which are well understood by the cause and effect relationships of the events that take place and know the story. They do not have the memory of "Gupy fish", unlike the masses.
For representatives of the "deep people", regardless of geographical and ethnicity, priority tasks and the main purpose are survival.
In post -Soviet societies, where the level of economic development remains relatively low, compared to those EU countries, where their political elites (more point, part) "lead", there is a tendency to despair and apathy of social masses against the background of a high level of corruption and the growth Top "and" bottom ", as well as a high level of" social injustice ".
Russia has always skillfully used a resaity for a "happy life in the USSR" and all these propaganda stamps with the help of technologies of manipulation of consciousness, in the Boliss, TV. And to make sure how strong "neural connections" under the conditional name "nostalgia for the past" (in fact - for youth), it is enough to look at the results of the regional elections in Germany this fall. There, the results of voting differed significantly in those federal lands that were part of the GDR.
More than 30 years have passed since the unification with Germany, but the older generation representatives, as before, strong socialist narratives and longing for "strong hand", "social justice", a high level of sympathy for Russia, etc.
The main explanation is not only the socio-economic inequality stored between the lands of "Western" and "Eastern" Germany (which, of course, plays a very important role), but also the mentality of people who have formed as individuals in the "developed socialism". Let me remind you that the formation of personality, its basic identities, in particular social, takes up to 20 years.
And if you look at the outcome of the vote in all these countries (including Ukraine by 2022), it is easy to find that, for the so-called "pro-Russian" party, people of 40+ are mostly voted. And the older ones, the more.
Here is this "rattling mixture" of obvious shortcomings - the greed of ruling elites, corruption, economic inequality in society in combination with skillful manipulation of "nostalgia" by youth (when all happy a priori), historical myths about "brotherly peoples", "most delicious in the world "," The Greatness of the USSR "and other horseradish, introduced into the consciousness of the" depth people "of the post -Soviet states, and use skillfully and effectively special services of the Russian Federation for the last 30 years.
The KGB competed on an equal footing with Western special services in studying how the human consciousness and consciousness of the crowd work. In many respects, the USSR has existed for 70 years. And now his "heirs" skillfully use the experience of their predecessors, and modern technologies of manipulation of consciousness in this only help.
The results of the elections in Moldova and Georgia (with Ukraine are united by the fact that in all three countries of the Russian Federation led either a "hybrid" war or open) indicate that "geopolitical turn" towards the Russian Federation is still possible. As it did not happen. And even in Ukraine, which has already suffered and continues to suffer much more losses of both territories and people than Moldova and Georgia, such a scenario is still possible.
But for this, Putin should stop as soon as possible the "hot" phase of war and return to the "hybrid". This is probably the main argument for the end of the "hot" phase of the Russian-Ukrainian war in the foreseeable perspective. It is because Putin, who alone makes all key decisions in the Russian Federation - "Chekist". Which are known to be "former". Remember the ratings of Zelensky on the eve of a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine.
I am sure, Putin has long realized his mistake about the start of a full -scale war. More precisely, he was convinced that it would not be and it would end with a meeting with the cow and flowers of Russian troops, as Medvedchuk promised him. And he really wants to fix her. Does this understand the Ukrainian leadership and did it make the necessary conclusions? Rhetorical question. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.