For the worst of the scripts of the Russian population, in 20 years will be reduced by 15% - Rossotstat
In 1994, the population of the Russian Federation reached a peak and amounted to 149 million people, but since then decreased to 146 million. The decrease in population is partially due to a full -scale invasion of Ukraine: the loss of Russians in the war, according to some estimates, exceed 300,000 people. Up to a million left Russia to avoid mobilization.
Even before the war, almost one million additional deaths were registered in the Russian Federation since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic until the end of 2021. During this period, the population decrease was observed during the period after the collapse of the USSR. In November, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Russia faces "complex demographic problems" and mentioned the departure from the tradition of large families. He stated that large families should become the norm again.
But, according to Rosstat, the natural decline in the population will be an average of about 500 thousand people a year in the period up to 2046. At the same time, the total number will decrease by 7. 6 million, ie to 138. 8 million. This will be the lowest since 1981, the Russian media said. The Moscow Times compared predicted figures with the population of the Russian Empire in 1897.
According to the "pessimistic" script of Rosstat, in the second half of the XXI century (at the beginning of 2046), only 130. 6 million people of permanent population will live in the Russian Federation. It is the level of the RSFSR in the early 70's (130 million), or the Russian Empire in 1897 (129 million). Such estimates are consistent with the UN Basic Forecast: by 2050, the permanent population of the Russian Federation will decrease from 146 million to 133 million. Recall that about 400,000.