Russia and Ukraine will choose a long war instead of a "bad" peace agreement - US Intelligence
This is stated in the latest assessment of the military situation from the US national intelligence, which was introduced by Bloomberg. US Presidential Administration Donald Trump seeks to reach a complete ceasefire by April 20, but Ukrainian and European officials have recognized this plan as far as ambitious in view of the desire of Russian President Vladimir Putin to delay the negotiations.
According to the White House, Russia and Ukraine have agreed to cease fire to protect civilian navigation in the Black Sea and to develop measures to ban strikes on energy facilities. According to intelligence estimates, positive trends on the battlefield for the Russian Federation make it possible to show "strategic patience".
For Ukraine, a concern to the territory or neutrality without significant security guarantees from the West can cause a negative reaction and future instability within society. However, Putin and President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky understand the risks of a long war. The Russian economy will fall, also reveals the likelihood of unwanted escalation with the West. Zelensky sees the unclear future of US and EU military assistance.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation retains dynamics on the battlefield, the war for exhaustion plays on the hand of Moscow and will lead to a gradual but steady weakening of Kiev's positions, regardless of any attempts by the US or allies to impose higher expenses, according to the report. The US intelligence community sees the risk that the Russian Federation can resort to nuclear weapons.