Debt for tanks: as Russian plans in the Liman direction are broken down into Ukrainian defense
If in May the average daily number of attacks was 184, in June this figure increased to 186. From June 10 to June 14, the army of the Russian Federation carried out more than 200 assault actions per day. One of the most difficult is the estuary direction, where, according to the General Staff of the Armed Forces for June 19, Russian invaders have almost doubled the number of attacks, up to 29 times a day. The focus understood what is happening on this front of the front.
According to Alexander Kovalenko's military-political observer, the Liman direction remains one of the most difficult on the front, but has its own peculiarities. In particular, at the end of May 2025, the Russian troops regrouping forces, focusing units of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division, which is part of the 20th city army. These forces act on the right bank of the Black Staff. Parts of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division from the 1st Tank Army were involved in the operations of operations.
The first tank army operating on the Liman-Khitansk axis had ambitious plans to capture the left bank of the Oskil River. However, despite reaching the position between Kruglyakivka and Kolesnik in the Sinkov area, Russian troops have not been advanced for several months. According to the expert, according to the Russian command, the 1st tank army had to play a key role in the breakthrough of the Ukrainian borders and the admiration of the left bank of Oskol. However, these plans were collapsed.
After moving to Kolesnik and Kruglyakivka, the enemy was unable to move in the direction of Zarizovo, which made it impossible to attack Kivsharivka, Kupyansk, Kupyansk-nodent or pine from the north. "For several months, they just can't move beyond Kolesnykivka and beyond Kruglyakivka in the direction of the rogue. Therefore, this is their plan . . . He failed," says Focus Kovalenko.
Due to the failures of the 1st tank army, they were re-qualified to support other groups, including the 6th and 20th general military armies. This allowed the Russian forces to obtain additional resources and start a new movement. The main offensive is the 20th All-Military Army, which moves between the Green Valley and Novomikhailivka to enter Karpivka. Military expert Oleg Zhdanov emphasizes that the Liman direction is of exceptional importance for Russian invaders.
First, it allows you to move along the border of Donetsk region, which meets the stated goals of the Russian leadership for its full capture. Secondly, this direction makes it possible to cut the key logistics artery for Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. "The Kharkiv - Slavyansk highway, also called Kharkiv - Donetsk, is of strategic importance.
Its cutting significantly complicates logistics, because in that region there are no other similar roads in the direction of Kramatorsk and Slavyansk," - explains Focus Zhdanov. This route is critical for the supply of Ukrainian forces, and its loss will significantly complicate the defense of the region. Third, the breakthrough in the estuary would allow the enemy to cut the Siverskyi speech, which remains unattainable for the Russians for more than two years.
The military expert also draws attention to the organizational difficulties of the Ukrainian side. The Defense of the Liman direction is managed by the Third Army Corps, which has not yet been fully formed. It was planned to unite the Lyman and Kupyan directions under the responsibility of this corps, but the process of creation is delayed due to organizational problems. Oleksandr Kovalenko suggests that Russian troops have several potential areas of promotion.
One of them is a Karpivka movement with a subsequent attack on the Lozovo across the Netrius River. The other is a turn north in the direction of Grekivka-Novogorovka. This performance is strategically important, and its admiration could facilitate the advancement to the heights between the new peace and the dugout. Control of these altitudes is key for further onset of pine. However, the implementation of this plan for Russians is complicated.
"The idea was ambitious, but with realization-problems: everything is moving sluggish. Even after reinforcing the 1st tank army, the 20th Army reached only limited results-they came to Karpivka, Rarekodub and New, surrounded the green valley, but without significant strategic success," Kovalenko adds. In the Liman direction also operates the 25th All-Military Army, which is concentrated on the site of Terni-Yampolivka-Terra. However, its promotion is even less successful.
This army does not move along the front line at all. Russian troops actively use the North Korean self -propelled artillery installations "Coxan", but even this does not produce significant results. The failures of the 20th and 25th armies have broader consequences for the Russian plans. Their inability to gain a foothold in the estuary impedes the promotion to the Siversky and Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. "All these assault actions do not give any tangible result or effect," the expert states.
The delays not only inhibit the promotion in the Lyman direction, but also affect the situation in the Siversky and Slavic-Kramatorsk directions. "It is a braking that lasts not just months, but for years, actually disrupts all plans to enter the left bank of the Oskil River," he adds, "Kovalenko concludes. Earlier, Focus wrote about whether the effectiveness of the Ukrainian air defense is declining, and what factors affect this process.