Economics

Empty gas station. Why in Russia the oil crisis and what will it have consequences for the aggressor

The trouble came to the Russian Federation, from where they did not expect. In the southern regions of the country, in the harvest season, a fuel deficit is recorded. As experts said focus, it is the result of both sanctions and ill -considered economic policy within the country. As a result, Russia can turn from an exporter to oil importer. Russia, one of the world's largest oil suppliers, faced the lack of fuel during the harvesting campaign.

The most severe crisis is felt in the southern regions of the country. "In the Krasnodar Territory, Adegaya and Astrakhan, A-92 gasoline is not sold in retail, A-95 gasoline and diesel," said Reuters Trader in southern Russia. According to the Russian media, a fuel deficit was recorded at the gas station in Astrakhansk, Saratov, Samara, Ryazan, Rostov, Novosibirsk and Volgograd regions, Kalmykia, Khabarovsk region and in the Crimea occupied by Russia.

At the same time, the price of AI-95 gasoline at the St. Petersburg International commodity and raw materials exchange beats a historical record-exceeded 74 thousand rubles per tonne. On the last day of summer, 95th gasoline went up by 0. 82%, up to 74 304 rubles per tonne. However, the cost of AI-92 gasoline increased by 0. 59%, to 63,946 rubles per tonne. Fuel deficiency is a direct consequence of ill -considered tax policy in the Russian Federation, says energy expert Gennady Ryabtsev.

"A reform called" tax maneuver ", which has been implemented over the last decade, with adjustments that are constantly made, do not contribute to a uniform saturation From time to time there is a lack of fuel, and in the south of Russia, in national regions closer to the Caucasus, "he explained. First of all, the situation with fuel in the Russian Federation was influenced by the expected reduction of dumper payments to oil workers and an increase in excise duties on gasoline and diesel.

The corresponding bill will take effect in September, then compensation to the refineries will be reduced twice, by 30 billion rubles per month. However, the fall in the value of the Russian ruble makes the export of petroleum products more profitable than their sale in the domestic market. Therefore, oil companies are trying to increase foreign deliveries, which also forms a deficit in the domestic market.

According to Ryabtsev, the situation in the Russian Federation is quite natural under the conditions of excessive regulation of the market, where there are vertically integrated oil companies, "which do not carry any losses from this situation, because their main direction is exports.

" The fuel deficit in the Russian Federation, in particular, is related to tax policy, removal of refineries for repair and problems on the railway, in addition, the deficit in Russia increases the withdrawal for repair of oil refining plants, as well as twice, compared to the last year, increasing the terms of transportation of fuel by rail.

The latter market participants explain the restarting of the ways because of the need to reorient coal export from western directions to the east, the restructuring of logistics chains in connection with anti -Russian sanctions. European sanctions have led to the fact that Russia has become unable to provide its citizens with fuel. "There are no oil at Russian refining plants, which they can process by their capacity.

All tanks clogged with" heavy "oil that no one needed, because it was consumed by Europe. It bought more" light "Arabic or American, mixed with Russian Urals and received Processing product, " - explains Dmitry Leushkin, director of the Prime group. Oil that Russia can neither sell legally nor recycle, its companies are trying to export "gray" tankers anywhere, to free the tanks to fill them with more "light" and process them, says Leushkin.

"Tanker fleet that works without beacons, trackers that are not tracked, that is, semi -pirath tankers, they try to unload from Murmansk, sell oil for pennies, only to take out. Although in Brazil. Some time in Russia. . Because new tanks will not be built and will not be released promptly. The crisis will intensify in the next half a year. Russia will cover the overall collapse, "Dmitry Leushkin is convinced. Prices in the domestic market in the Russian Federation will continue to grow.

It is not denied that the oil plants of the Russian Federation will start importing "black gold". "The only thing they can do is to start importing fuel and lubricants from Iran. To such a funny disgrace can be reached! Prime groups.