Freezing on the front line or sharp escalation: as Trump "One Call" will end the war in Ukraine
The night count showed his convincing separation from a democracy, a valid Vice president of Kamala Harris. Trump won in 25 states, including all seven states that "hesitate" (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Arizona), gathering 277 voices of electives from the necessary 270. out of 100, which will strengthen the presidential position.
In his victorious speech, Trump called himself the 47th President of the United States, promising "to fight for Americans every day and to open the golden age of the states. " He thanked the American voters and confessed to be the most president twice the most honor. Foreign leaders have already congratulated the Republican with a victory. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, France Emmanuel Macron, Turkish President Recep Taiip Erdogan and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, did this.
China was made by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Mao Nin, declaring compliance with the principle of respect and mutually beneficial cooperation in relations with Washington. In election speeches, Donald Trump constantly declared the end of Russia's war with Ukraine before the inauguration planned for January 20, 2025 in the Capitol. It is supposed to have 24 hours for the Republican. He never voiced the terms of peace, but hinted at a "good deal.
" "I literally the same night as it becomes known about my victory, I call two people: Putin and Zelensky . . . We will conclude an agreement within 24 hours," Trump said during a speech at the New York Economic Club on September 5. During the speech before the voters and declaring himself a new president in Florida, Trump confirmed his intention to finish all wars in the world.
It is significant that on the day of the vote count, Zelensky signed laws on the continuation of martial law and general mobilization in Ukraine for another 90 days, until February 7, 2025. Welcoming Trump on the victory in the election, the President of Ukraine said he was counting on powerful two -party support from the United States. "I appreciate the commitment of Trump President" Peace approach "in world affairs.
This is exactly the principle that in practice closer America under the decisive leadership of President Trump, ”Zelensky stressed. The Kremlin is not aware of Putin's plans to greet Trump on the victory and remind that the US is a unfriendly country for Russia. Russian Presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov said it was impossible to end the war in Ukraine in one day. "We have repeatedly said that the United States of America is able to facilitate the end of the conflict in Ukraine.
Of course, this cannot be done in one night. After the victory, entering the oval office, statements by American politicians change the tone," he said. Political experts surveyed by focus are skeptical of Trump's promises to complete the war in one day or even a few months. In the near future it is worth hoping for the beginning of the sidelines of the US and Russian sides, according to the board of the Center for Applied Political Studies "Penta" Vladimir Fesenko.
In the inauguration of January 20, according to the observer, Trump will agree on the warring parties to negotiate. The new US president will first prefer the simple option - ceasefire on the front line. "We are expected to be a difficult game with the impossibility of a rapid solution of war. The Ukrainian trump is weaker than the Russian and based on the preservation of the bridgehead in Kursk region.
If the question arises is the reduction of the army, we cannot go on the conditions of the Russian Federation. 2022 and leave a restraining weapon, insurance from a new attack of Russia, " - says Focus expert. Fesenko denied rumors that Kamala Harris was waiting for the Bankova. The President (OP) office was equally prepared for all results, but some of the OP representatives were afraid of reducing military assistance after Trump's arrival.
It is more likely that Washington has been financially aid, and the military component will become a simultaneous pressure on Kiev and Moscow. "Ideal for the beginning of informal negotiations-the end of November-beginning of December. In the best case, the result will appear no earlier than spring 2025. The scenario of continuation of the war is not excluded," the analyst added.
Trump often responded with enthusiasm about Putin and stated that he would withdraw Russia from her union with a deepening China. However, there are now few people in Moscow believe in "a complete turn in relations between the states and Russia," the sources of The Washington Post (WP) three days before Trump's victory have been said.
The former White House official who works at the Carnegie Eric Chiaramell's Foundation for the International Peace is convinced that the new US president can force Ukraine to yield and enter into a disadvantaged agreement with Russia to put an end to the war. According to Volodymyr Fesenko, the successful offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Donbass turned Putin into a supporter of the surrender of Ukraine.
Moscow has prepared a whole list of concessions that are unacceptable to Kiev. To agree on the ceasefire, as the political scientist specifies, is extremely difficult on the technical side. There is no adequate controller for arms removal, and the OSCE during the conflict in the Donbass showed the inability to monitor what is happening. The potential for this has a UN, but it requires a long voting and funding procedure, says Vladimir Fesenko.
The chances of freezing the Great War since 2025 have been increasing, but from a legal point of view, war cannot be stopped because of Putin's demands to leave Russian control over Crimea, Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions, emphasizes International Viewer Maxim Yali. The US President has all the pressure levers on Ukraine and Trump has previously demonstrated this when a $ 61 billion military aid package was hung in Congress. But the question is how it will affect Russia.
Yali points out that Russian conditions are unacceptable for both Ukraine and US authorities. Recognizing control over four regions of Ukraine means the losing Trump on the diplomatic front. In the event of an adamant position of the Kremlin, the Armed Forces will receive new types of American weapons and permission to beat rockets on objects within the Russian Federation.
"The scenario of the future is in the range of freezing of war to the escalation to the limit level with Putin's imcontionalness," the expert added. In 2017, Donald Trump showed Russia his teeth: he vetoed Ukraine's supply of lethal defense weapons introduced during the Barack Obama Presidency. The Armed Forces received Javelin complexes. Further in 2019, sanctions against companies participating in the construction of the Nord Stream - 2 gas pipeline were imposed, the observer summed up.