From "defeat" to "bad peace": Times published 4 scenarios of end of war in Ukraine

According to British journalists, there are peace talks with pressure on Moscow, but with territorial concessions. After Donald Trump's victory in the US elections, Ukrainian society was facing a new dilemma. The initial fears caused by his rhetoric about possible good relations with Vladimir Putin have changed to careful hope. Trump's new statements, including threats to strict sanctions against Russia, have warmed up disputes about how his presidency could affect the war.

In this regard, the British Times journalists published a material that refers to four likely scenarios of the end of the war in Ukraine. The defeat of Ukraine. If the United States stops military and financial support for Ukraine, Russia, continuing aggression, can reach a complete military victory. This will lead to a humanitarian catastrophe, the influx of millions of refugees and the loss of sovereignty by Ukraine. This situation will strike a serious blow to NATO and stability in the region.

"Bad Peace. " In the face of weakening the support of the event, Ukraine may be forced to agree to a disadvantaged peace agreement. Such a scenario will lead to the division of the country, the establishment of a puppet government in Kiev and strengthening Russia's positions. Cease-fire. The third scenario involves the temporary termination of hostilities, which only freezes the conflict in current positions.

However, without the final settlement and safety guarantees, it can be another lull before restoring the war. The new US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who stated that the United States intended to achieve a steady peace rather than a temporary ceasefire, spoke about this. Peaceful settlement through negotiations. This scenario involves the participation of Ukraine in peace negotiations from the point of view of force thanks to US sanctions and long -term support.

However, the implementation of such a result will require Ukraine from Ukraine, in particular, refusing to return all territories occupied since 2022. The authors of the material noted that the support of America remains a key factor that will determine Ukraine's ability to negotiate from the point of view of force. Without it, the likelihood of a favorable scenario is significantly reduced. According to Rubio, the conflict should end in a "sustainable way".

However, the final result of the war will depend not only on territorial issues, but also on whose area of ​​influence Ukraine will be. Thus, decisions made by Donald Trump can be decisive for the future of the country and the region. "We are going to make efforts to end in a stable way, that is, we do not just want the conflict to end and then recover in two, three or four years. We want to ensure stability," the Secretary of State said.