The ISW named the possible terms of the new offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation

The assault actions, according to analysts, will probably begin in the east of Ukraine, where Russia has relocated additional units after retreating from Kherson. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can start a new large -scale offensive in Ukraine in the spring or early summer. A similar forecast in its report from January 23 voiced the Institute of War of ISW.

Analysts in their document refer to recent statements of the Ukrainian military intelligence of the Ministry of Defense that the next months of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can start a new offensive operation. ISW does not exclude that the assault actions will begin in the east of Ukraine, where Russia has been transferring additional units to the background of retreat from Kherson for several months.

Instead, according to analysts, the scenario of land invasion from the territory of Belarus is considered unlikely.

"The GRU warnings mainly confirm the current ISW forecasts for Russia's intentions in the first half of 2023 and emphasize the constant need to support Western partners in order not to lose the initiative as a result of the restoration of the Russian offensive operation," the American analysts added in their report, where The large -scale offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the coming months is forecast.

It should be noted that on January 22, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy published an interview with the German TV channel ARD in his Telegram. While communicating with journalists, the Head of State named the directions where the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can begin the offensive. A few days earlier, GUR MOU commented on the appointment of Valery Gerasimov to the post of commander of a united troops.