What is happening in Kherson and what are the prospects for his release from Russian invaders
Commander of the Airborne Troops of the Russian Federation (VAT) commanded the group, Colonel-General Mikhail Teplinsky, he is subordinated to the full of the 22nd Army Corps (Major General Marzoev). Battalion tactical groups from the composition of the Russian group: 7th and 76th Airborne Assault Divisions, 98th Airborne Division, 11th, 31st, 83rd Airborne assault brigades, 45th, 45th, 45th, 45th, 45th, 45th, 45th, 45th Airborne Divisions.
VAT special forces, 90th Tank Division, 19th Motorized Rifle Division, 126th Brigade of Coast Defense, 810th Marine Corps, 37th Motorized Rifle Brigade, 10th Brigade of Special Forces, Operational Units of Rosgvardy. Almost all Russian VAT is concentrated here: three of the four divisions and all four crews. The replenishment of personnel and military equipment is constantly thrown here.
Russian troops retain management, organization, and do not think that they will flee themselves from a slight push. This great power will only be killed by a more effective force, more successful tactics. 2. The Strategy of the Defeat Series of Russians in Ukraine has changed the plans of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
Instead of the capture of all Ukraine, the Russians are now forced to focus on the holding and seizure of Donbass, on the defense of the land corridor in the Crimea through the Zaporozhye region. The Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continues its offensive, and a favorable bridgehead in Kherson has become an anvil.
Systemic strikes across the Dnieper narrowed the possibilities of supplying ammunition and providing and limiting the maneuver of the Russian troops, which increased the efficiency of intelligence and the defeat of high -precision Armed Forces. It is not possible to supply Ukrainian artillery and missile complexes of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Defense is possible, but in such circumstances, the Russians bear unacceptable losses.
Now the Commander of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Ukraine Serhiy Surovkin is forced to plan the surrender of Kherson under the pressure of the Ukrainian army, because he sees the inability of his elite troops to capture the initiative in the Battle of Kherson. To protect against the defeat, the Russians plan to deploy a short defense line across the Dnieper.
Because Kherson became a trap that absorbs reserves, and which does not allow the Russian army to solve at least a minimum in Zaporozhye and Donbass. 3. Tactics Russian troops have built a defense that is not dense, since it is dispersed and deeply echelorated, which is deployed along planting, relies on the maneuver with the fire of artillery and aviation, the use of tactical reserves with armored vehicles.
The purpose of the Russians is to prevent rapid breakdowns and fixing small Ukrainian combat groups. Planting in Kherson region is liquid, well visible, the gaps between them are large, one and a half or two km. The first line of defense - advanced landing, deals with small infantry forces without armored vehicles, which perform the functions of intelligence and observation, this line changes both before planting and planting.
The main forces are concentrated on the second and third landings, there are intelligence, drones, a significant number of anti -tank missile systems, for which these are optimal conditions of use. In the depths are also tactical reserves - small battle groups with tanks and armored vehicles. The enemy tries to act hidden, dispersed, to reduce losses from the defeat of our artillery.
Also on the bridgehead are the considerable forces of Russian artillery and air defense means to support troops, and aviation is used. The Russians do not keep the front edge significant forces because they have reserves and a second defense line.
Therefore, the attack in small groups on the narrow front, the task of raid, without coordination and interaction with artillery, in the calculation of advanced in the cracks of combat orders, can lead to stopping the attack in the second, maximum of a third landing. During this time, the Russians determine the breakthrough places, raise drones, begin adjustments to the artillery fire, then begin contradictions of tactical reserves with tanks.
The attacks of small groups in separate areas and infiltration of one infantry in this direction are ineffective. The offensive actions are effective when the enemy suffered significant losses, systematically explored and destroyed command points, PTRC calculations, support artillery, armored vehicles, that is, the attack should be preceded by softening of defense over a large area. Otherwise, the attack requires completely different quantities and qualities of shock groups. 4.
Will the Russians run away? No Russian command is doing everything possible to keep Kherson as much as possible. However, if the powerful pressure of the Armed Forces is stored, or even increased due to more effective planning of offensive operations, accurate damage to the skeleton and nerve nodes of the Russian VAT and the 22nd Corps, the Russian command will start retreat.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation openly prepare for the repetition of the "goodwill gesture" on the island of Snake. The situation is very similar in tactical pattern with the battle for the island, although the scale, of course, is hundreds of times larger. Under Ukrainian blows, Kherson lost its importance as an offensive bridgehead, and the departure for the Dnieper will allow to build a line of defense here, bringing to the VAT reserve.
But it is possible to knock out an enemy by accurately effective rocket-artillery offensive. 5. The importance of Kherson's surrender will mean the inability of Russian President Vladimir Putin to intercept the initiative in the war even after full -scale mobilization. It will be a huge strategic defeat of Russia, and will demonstrate the advantage and ability of Ukraine to defeat any powerful Russian group.