Trump will not count on Putin: advisers will explain to him the role of China in the war - CNN

According to John Lofa, an employee of the Centham House Center, Beijing will perceive any concessions as another evidence of US weakness. According to expert Thomas Graham, Putin has no reason to view what he is doing in Ukraine now. It is expected that in the event of President Kamal Harris will continue to continue the policy of the administration of the incumbent President Joe Biden.

Donald Trump states that he will stop Kiev's military support and that he would be able to settle the war in one day. CNN writes about it. The conditions of the peace plan proposed by his candidate for the post of Vice President JD Vance, strikingly similar to the list of the desires of Russian President Vladimir Putin, journalists say. American foreign policy is at a crossroads, which will not necessarily lead to a turning point in peace talks, analysts say.

Nothing points out that Russian representatives are ready to sit at the negotiating table, no matter who will eventually find themselves in the White House. "What [Trump] thinks what he can do, what he has levers of influence, is unclear, but I do not think it is a quick process," said Thomas Graham, foreign policy expert and researcher at the Council of International Relations. Experts suggest that reducing military assistance can lead to changes in the battlefield.

With any potential president, Putin will seek to use what he considers political dysfunction in the United States and "cracks in the unity of the West," Graham said. This can be in the form of a reduction in US assistance and a smaller role in NATO or split in US Congress. Financial pressure on European allies also plays a role as differences in NATO with the pro -Russian leadership in countries such as Hungary and Slovakia.

Against the backdrop of the lack of unity of the West and a clear demonstration of what is common with Ukraine to vision of what they are trying to achieve, Putin will not have a reason to view what he is doing in Ukraine now, Graham added. The scale of the war in Ukraine is too large so that only Moscow and Kiev participate in the negotiations, experts say.

"Ukraine is just a means of achieving the goal, and the goal is to limit the US influence in international affairs," said John Loff, a researcher at the Catham House Analytical Center of the London Analytical Center. "When the advisers [Trump] explain to him what is really going on, and the fact that China takes a key role in supporting Russia's opportunities to continue the war . . . He can suddenly feel very sharp that he is not so well located in Putin", Said Lof.