There is no option that will suit everyone: why the continuation of war in Ukraine is the most likely prospect

There are no variant that would argue about the Ukrainian conflict right now - as there are no insurmountable conditions that would force one of the actors of the play to go for him unacceptable for him, blogger Sergei Stukanov states. So, the most likely option for developments is to continue the war in the current version. So, the circle closed.

The Russian Federation began the war to distract Ukraine's accession to NATO and regain its exclusive right to decide its fate (to restore the vassal position and to keep it in its area of ​​influence).

Instead, the countries of the West (which are included in the Coalition of those who want "), though (temporarily?) Are not mentioned more about NATO, have significantly advanced in defining security guarantees, which should provide for the direction of the Western troops (first of the limited contingent from VB, France, Canada, Australia, etc. ).

Russia has already stated Lavrov's mouth that it does not perceive such deployment and wants (in conjunction with Beijing) to receive the veto to give Ukraine support in the event of aggression. What can be the deaf angle outputs? That's all. As we can see, there is no option that would argue. As there are no insurmountable conditions that would make one of the actors of the play to go for him unacceptable. So, the most likely is the scenario 2, which is caused by the current balance of forces.