Neither war nor peace. Why in the West raised the topic of peace talks with Moscow
After the Russian President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, Western politicians joined the regulation of the Ukrainian crisis. So, according to US NBC News, officials of Europe and the United States have already started discussing possible peace talks with Russia with Kiev. The information is provided anonymously, with reference to unnamed former and current American officials.
The discussion covers a wide range of topics until Ukraine is ready to refuse to achieve a peace agreement. For the first time, such conversations began in October during a meeting of the contact group on defense of Ukraine, better known as Ramstein. This was the concern of Western partners that the war is in a dead end, and the opportunities for assistance are becoming less.
This statement looks rather skeptical, because the so -called "flywheel of the OPC" of NATO countries is only gaining momentum. The topic of peace negotiation initiative is not new and systematically appears in the Western media. For example, in August 2023, The New York Times wrote that Ukraine can force peace talks with the Russian Federation soon. Such conclusions were made through a meeting in Jedda.
It is noteworthy that it was after Jedda and negotiations in China that the Russian leadership also began to promote the topic of war stop. Today there is no working track on peace talks with the Russian Federation. The only public document is the formula of peace from Vladimir Zelensky, which the Russian side is trying not to notice. At the same time, the Kremlin does not offer its projects for discussion, even more - ignores Ukraine, emphasizing that it is necessary to talk to the event.
It is noteworthy that President Volodymyr Zelensky himself stated that none of the leaders of the EU, US or other partners will press on Ukraine in order to impose negotiations. "I do not know who publishes it. I do not know what it is done. Ursula von der Lien. At the same time, the lack of any pressure from the event was spoken in the United States.
Thus, the US State Department representative Vedant Patel assured that he was unknown about any discussion with the Ukrainian side that could encourage Kiev to "peace talks" with Russia to accelerate the end of the war in Ukraine. It is worth mentioning that exactly a year ago, the former US Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst also mentioned peace talks. Then the diplomat said that their holding would not produce any results for the event and Kiev.
In 2022, the defense forces liberated large territories from the Russian occupation and prepared plans for counter -offensive in 2023. It was the results of the counter -offensive that should form the basis of negotiating positions with the Kremlin. There are no such results, and the West overheated by high expectations is rolled during the election. Therefore, resolving the issue of war in Ukraine again appears on the agenda primarily for political dividends.
Political scientist Oleg Pasternak explains that in conditions of restricted access to information, when the population does not have a situation of events at the front and political recaptures, peace talks are trigger. They make it possible to determine how much the situation has changed, whether there are signs of political inflation. This is to talk about the event, it is a check for us how much Ukraine is ready to fight further. These are certain fantasies of media.
All these peace talks are just an attempt to predict what they can be and what preconditions for them exist. If not Ukraine, the countries of Europe, the USA, analytical centers can connect. "Currently, the world is coming for a peaceful agenda, so if we ignore it, someone else wins from this - conditional China, Orban or Fitzo, for example.
Despite the steady paradigm that the war will end with a victory and exit to the borders of 1991, Ukraine needs to have Ukraine several ideas for promoting the topic of peaceful settlement. One of them is the formula of peace, the global peace of peace. Thanks to them there is an opportunity to promote the idea of Ukrainian concept of peace as wide as possible. First of all, for the global south, which, by virtue of historical traditions, is on the neutral side or supports Russia.
" , - he says. Ukraine has initiated a global peaceful forum, which has been invited by more than 140 countries of the world. The President of the South African Republic of Syril Ramafos was recently received. This year, the African politician visited Kiev, where he represented his vision of peaceful settlement.
The topic of the peaceful initiative of Ukraine also found support in the meetings on the implementation of the peaceful formula of Zelensky, they have already passed in Copenhagen, Jeddi and Malta. According to Pasternak, it is a good initiative to show that Ukraine is looking for peace diplomatic. If you stay on the topic that there are no negotiations only a military decision, we will lose a trend and risk getting a brutal militaristic state in the world.
It is guaranteed that the Kremlin will abuse and play it. By the way, at the meeting of the Seven Group (G7), which is currently underway in Tokyo, the ministers of foreign affairs decided to continue to provide decisive support to Ukraine. Separately indicated the need to promote the process of "peace" together with international partners.
According to political scientist Igor Petrenko, there is a certain information wave in the West that the budgets of countries spend on support of Ukraine, not solving national problems. It is these moods that try to use primarily to criticize their national governments. Reflections on the need for peaceful negotiations on existing conditions are not Mainestril, as there is a full understanding that Ukraine must be supported in the struggle for existence and democratic values.
The reasons should also be mentioned by the electoral cycles that are now held in many countries of Western diplomacy. "At present, Ukraine has no negotiating positions and the Russian side is not constructive in this process. Therefore, if peace talks and are drawn, it will be an unjust peace that is unlikely The world is spending millions. Older devoted politicians get from Naphthalin, try to "bush" the topic of hostilities at the media and analytical centers. Petrenko.
Political expert Oleg Saakyan reminds that Ukraine has a legislative ban on negotiations with Vladimir Putin and other Russian leadership. Even if you imagine that such negotiations are at the informal level, it falls under the interpretation of the state betrayal of Ukraine. According to him, systematic "insides" on peace talks with Russia can be explained in terms of two main factors.
First, it is the sensation of Western elites-part of the Western elites is looking for options for the end of the war in Ukraine, so in constant discussion. Secondly, it is the interest of the Russian Federation in the rapid stop of hostilities on existing conditions. There is a loosening of the situation in Ukraine and intensification of the agent network in Europe.
"It should not be forgotten that the Western media are in the inertia of the Ukrainian war, so they try not to miss the moment to give the greatest sensation the first, in the hope that they then respond to it. Such is a kind of lifting of the information wave, with the expectation of certain trends from it," - says the focus the expert. Experts surveyed by focus say that talking about peace talks will occur systematically until they are really possible.