The only politician in Ukraine is the Armed Forces. What depends on the victory and the subsequent fate of the country

It is impossible to predict the future of Ukraine now, but it is necessary to imagine it, writes journalist Pavel Kazarin. In his opinion, in the event of victory and in the case of defeat on the country, a very different future is waiting, but in any case, it is important to keep the mood that now unites Ukrainians before and after victory. We often say that the war is changing us. But much more we will change our ending we have a constant temptation to build forecasts.

We think about the first post -war elections. We argue about new names in Ukrainian politics. We plow about the postwar time. But all this is deprived of any sense. And the fact is not that Ukraine is threatened with the loss of statehood or return to colonial status. These scenarios are probably in the past. But the result of the war depends on the agenda that our country will live in the future. Its finale will be determined by the fate of people and cities who have never encountered war.

We are standing at the crossroads today. If we win - we are waiting for the moment of the national triumph. Acquisition of internal subjectivity. Solidarity with all countries that helped Ukraine succeed in the battlefield. Ukraine will become a country that has proven the world's ineffective dictatorship and the superiority of democracies. Will become a showcase of the achievements of Western civilization.

It is a clear confirmation that rights and freedoms are directly related to the ability to win the battlefield. We will be the main history of success on the continent. Evidence that the 19th century rules did not work in the 21st. Our civilization pendulum is finally Zamre - and Ukraine's European future will no longer be questioned. The end of history in a single country. Everything will be different if we lose.

The losing Ukraine will mean that market dictatorships are more effective than market democracy. That human rights and variability of power do not affect defense. That the track that the event offers other countries as a route letter does not necessarily lead to success. For our future, this is of paramount importance. In the event of a victory, we will be another country in the Western world. We will feel in Europe equal and at home.

The reforms will become free, as their supporters will be able to nod the example of those countries whose help has brought our triumph closer. In case of defeat, everything will be different. We can even call us to the European Union. Can help rebuild the destroyed. They can pour investments and provide economic growth. But the injury of national humiliation will not go anywhere. This means that Europe is at risk of identifying a country that does not trust it on its borders.

A country in which anti -Russian sentiment rhymes with anti -Western moods. The country that will despair in the ideals - and will preach diplomatic cynicism. We will be very similar to modern Turkey and Hungary. Let's start thinking about the exclusivity of our national path. We will talk about the sovereign right to go a special route. European integration will be like a swearing, because it will mean embedding into the same world that has betrayed us and did not help win.

Our new populists will be anti -Western. They will begin to sell the voter resaity and feelings of insult. Both are strong mental drugs that allow the carrier from the height of the pedestal to blame others of their own troubles. Sooner or later, we will have our Donald Trump. The internal agenda will be broken down into "We We have" and "We are guilty". The former will talk about the need to change and evolve. About working on mistakes and the problem of unexplored lessons.

Others will be on the indifference of the West and the bankruptcy of Western values. About the Ukrainian role in the rescue of the continent and further betrayal by the saved. And such will probably be more noticeable. The peculiarity of the situation is that victory and defeat in this case are not constants, but variables. For example, in the spring of 2022, Ukraine was ready to consider the border on February 23. And today the symbol of victory is only the exit to the borders of 2014.

The result on the battlefield that we will consider the victory and the one that we will be regarded as defeat will depend on the level of public expectations. The unanimity we see in the polls is certainly a factor in our power. It refutes Moscow's hopes for intra -Ukrainian discord and split, gives cohesion, synergy and solidarity. But it should be borne in mind that if the results of the war do not meet expectations, this unanimity can be disappointed and frustration.

And that is why all our attempts to build forecasts make no sense. We have no idea who will win in the first post -war elections. We do not know what names will have new parties and what slogans we will see on their flags. We do not even know what names will be in the ballots and what promises will have demand. All because the last year and a half, the only politician in our country is the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The only space of politics is the war. The future will be the way they will make it.