"Long Game": Baiden has a slow effect of sanctions against Russia - CNN
The most difficult consequences are expected no earlier than the beginning of next year. The US hoped that sanctions would quickly suppress the military car, and the Kremlin would be difficult to fight with Ukraine, but the aggressor economy was more stable. Russia receives considerable funds by exporting energy.
The Finnish Energy and Pure Air Research Center estimated that in the first 100 days of the Russian Federation, the Russian Federation earned a record 93 billion euros from the sale of oil, gas and coal. The Russian economy fell by about 4% from April to June, and the states were expected to be reduced by 15%, the authorities say.
"We expected that SWIFT and sanctions against Russian banks would completely collapse the Russian economy and that by September the aggressor would weaken," one of the officials commented. Another civil servant added that many in the US Presidential Administration, Joe Baiden, was counting on more harm from sanctions. The developers of restrictions on the eve of the war with Ukraine said that serious consequences should be expected in the long run.
"We wanted to put pressure on Russia, to worsen its economic and industrial capabilities. This was always regarded as a long -term game," he said. The Russian economy has been shocked in the form of a ruble fall, but at the expense of income from energy exports, it quickly recovered, SNN sources say.
Western intelligence representatives are convinced of a strong blow to the Russian economy in the long run due to the high cost of war and attempts by the West to cut off the Russian Federation from world trade. "As a result, long -term losses of the Russian economy and generations of Russians will be caused.
The inconsistency of expectation and reality is due to the fact that many Western officials have underestimated the super -quadruple income from the rise in oil prices, as well as the readiness of China and India to buy Russian oil massively, the authorities said. The largest world oil producer, Saudi Arabia, also buys oil in Moscow at a discount. The resource is used at power plants, and their own oil is released for sale, confirmed by a representative of Biden administration.
Europe is in no hurry to abandon Russian energy resources and delayed the imposition of sanctions against Russian energy interests, CNN journalists said. "We have warned Europe the years before the invasion of the need to avoid Russian energy, and they simply did not want to do it until it was too late," said one of the high -ranking American officials. Export measures have undermined Russia's ability to produce new technologies and weapons.
Recently, the country has sought help from Iran and North Korea in the supply of drones and ammunition. The sanctions introduced by the US forced Russia to use chips from dishwashers and other household appliances in military equipment. "Sanctions have certainly hit the economy of the Russian Federation, but not so much as the West was hoped.
And not exactly to plant Russians at the negotiation table," said the former director of the US Department of State Department for the fight against terrorism and finances Jason Blasakis. Some authorities hope for a faster effect from sanctions. Recall that the US Ministry of Finance estimated the loss of Russian sanctions of hundreds of billions of dollars. The country's international reserves worth $ 300 billion were frozen.