Mobilization in the Russian Federation: Zgurets replied when Putin would be able to send recruits to the front (video)
This was stated by the director of the information and consulting company Defense Express Sergey Zgurets on the air "Espresso. TV". According to him, even if in the near future Vladimir Putin declares that it is necessary to "throw" more people into the service, only by the beginning of autumn he will be able to form a capable forces. "We try to predict whether widespread mobilization in Russia will be and how it will affect the front line.
This question remains unanswered, because if we look at the front line and the actions of the Russian army, the offensive of which lasts since October last year in seven directions , the only result of the enemy is the capture of Avdiivka and an attempt to develop an attack west from this city, "said Sergei Zgurets. At the same time, the expert continues, it is unknown whether the President of Russia will declare mobilization.
Some say that this will happen, others are convinced that the opponent will build a call on monetary motivation. In this way, he will be able to recruit 30-45 thousand people a month, which should be enough to maintain the current intensity of hostilities, says Sergei Zgurets. At the same time, overall mobilization will also take time to prepare new fighters-at least 3-4 months. Accordingly, only by the beginning of autumn will the Kremlin be able to obtain the forces that it expects now.
In any case, Ukraine takes into account all these risks together with partners. "If mobilization in Russia in 300-400 thousand. We need to see what technique it will be provided. And we will have some time to bet on improvement of the defense line, fortifications, an increase in the number of means of damage, the same drones . . . Of course, to assess the full risks associated with the readiness of Russia for the next offensive is still quite difficult.