The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can try to cut off the Armed Forces in the Kursk region and complicate fire support near the border - ISW

The plans of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation may have a promotion to the border to the southeast of sleeping, which will complicate the logistics routes of defense forces in the Kursk region. According to analysts, it is still too early to evaluate how two days of Russian counterattack will affect the Ukrainian breakthrough, which has been going on for more than a month.

Russian troops can try to temporarily cut out a Ukrainian speech in the Kursk region, and then start more organized and well -equipped operations for the displacement of Ukrainian forces from the territory of the Russian Federation. About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of September 11. The Russian forces are currently conducting counter -attacks along the western region, controlled by the Armed Forces in the Kursk Oblast.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is attacked in the area, which is mainly made up of fields and small settlements. In the Russian Federation, the Russian Federation can work to take more tactically profitable positions during initial counterattack before starting a larger -scale counter -offensive operation against the Armed Forces, which operate northeast of Korenev and near Sudzh.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can try to cut off the Ukrainian speech and move to the international border to the southeast of sleeping to complicate logistics routes and fire positions that provide support for the SSU closer to the international border. Then there may be a larger -scale contradictory operation, suggesting American analysts.

The military command of the Russian Federation apparently rests on the elements of the 155th Brigade of Marines, the 56th and 51st regiments of the Air Force for initial counterattack. But, probably, for future counterattacks, other elements of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the area will appear. It is unclear whether the Russian authorities believe that the current grouping of Russian troops in the Kursk region is able to successfully displace Ukrainian troops from the area.

The grouping is mostly staffed with stimuli, irregular troops and small elements of regular, as well as more elite units. Among other things, it may be planned to transfer more capable units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation from Ukraine, it is unknown when it can happen. ISW believes that it is premature to evaluate how two days of Russian counterattack will affect the Ukrainian breakthrough in the Kursk region, which has been going on for more than a month.