Second Front for Russia: The expert evaluated the Kremlin's potential for war in Europe
Pavel Lakichuk, the head of the Security Center of the Globalism Center, said this in the focus comment. "Now Ukraine is a trap for Russia, where it has caught, and while its forces are tight around Ukraine, the invasion of neighboring states is less likely, they will not be able to open the second front," he says. According to the expert, there may be changes in the situation depending on the events on the Ukrainian-Russian fronts.
"The Baltic States are the most obvious potential victim of the Russian aggressor. And also may be Poland and Finland. The invasion of Romania or Bulgaria is less likely to take into account the forces of the Russian Navy. This option is potentially possible if the Russians reach their goals and capture Ukraine, They will move on. But we will not let them do it, " - says the KhXI Strategy Strategy Strategy Strategy Program.
Lakichuk emphasized that for the attack it is necessary to gather strength: to mobilize people, to equip, to organize logistics. Such movements will be noticeable to Western intelligence. Another option - Russia can arrange constant provocations. For example, to threaten several areas of Estonia to gradually draw NATO in a dispute, to distract. "A certain group of forces can always be formed.
Remember, on the eve of a full -scale invasion, as they said, even after the warning of our allies, our officials said that the forces group in the north of our borders is insufficient for a large -scale invasion. They still climbed when they gave the team. A rational view of the ratio should be, but it is only a component of the general strategic plan. The fact that the nature of the Putin regime is aggressive - no one has doubts, "the expert said.