The loss of the curable by 2025: the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation started offensive action by 70 km of front, - analyst (maps)

The front line around the Kurakhov is curved with an arc, between which 27 km, a map of hostilities. The OSINT Analysis from the Black Bird GROUP project sees two scenarios of the new Russian offensive that can lead to city loss. The Russian army launched a new offensive in the Donbass, trying to occupy the city of Kurakhovo, in which 21 thousand people lived before the war. On the southern flank, the enemy was able to pass about 10 km. On the northeast-it approaches the Kurakhiv Reservoir.

The command of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can consider two scenarios of further attacks. In both, the Russians bypass the city and force the Armed Forces to retreat further west. About the details of the offensive of the military Osint-analyst Emil Kastehelmi from the Black Bird Gird Group project wrote in the Twitter social network. Casthelma's explanation appeared on the network on October 29.

The OSINT analyst supplemented it with maps, which marked the directions of promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, the line of fortifications of the Armed Forces, and justified his position on the future attacks of the enemy. He recalled that for several past days the Russians broke through the defense of the Armed Forces at several points: near Selidovo in the northeast and near the Epiphany-Shakhtarsky in the south (according to the coledar).

According to the analyst, this means that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a new offensive and the direction of the impact - Kurakhovo in the Donetsk region. "Recently, the Russians have launched a large offensive in the Eastern and South Donbass at the front of 70 kilometers wide," Casthelmy wrote. The post is added a map showing the main directions of attacks by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which occur around the perimeter around the once 21,000 Ukrainian city.

The analyst noted that the territory covered by Russian "ticks" is mainly flat, which should complicate the promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The Armed Forces fighters were able to build some fortifications, but they are probably not enough and, given the change in the situation, they can no longer reduce new ones - the enemy came too close. Osint-Er sees two scenarios of the offensive of the Russian Federation on Kurakhovo.

"There are some field fortifications in the lanes that we have not been able to apply to the map, but it does not seem to be, at least enough, the situation does not allow Ukrainians to start digging quickly in the immediate vicinity," he wrote. Scenario 1 - Russians move to Andreevka along the Kurakhiv reservoir, on the one hand, and a plain from Shakhtarsk, on the other. The units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be difficult to move in a plain in the south, said the analyst.

But if they do it, "will avoid the expensive passage of a huge network of trenches and complex ridges in the Kurakhovo-Andrievka area," he wrote. Scenario 2 is a movement towards the village of Dachne, located halfway between Kurakhov and Andreevka. In this case, they form a kind of "ticks" that will force the Armed Forces to move away, since the logistics of the group in Kurakhovo will be threatened, the Osint-Er noted.

Casthelma emphasizes that there is no catastrophe and chaos on this area of ​​the front and probably the area can be kept if the Ukrainian command exceeds reserves there. However, in his forecast - the loss of a large settlement, the size of the Avdiivka lost in February. "If current trends persist, Ukraine may lose Kurakhov by 2025," he wrote.

The report of the Armed Forces General Staff, published on the Facebook page at 4:00 pm on November 1, stated that 37 storms of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were charged in the Kurakhiv direction. The enemy storms about 10 settlements: Ostrovsky, Illinka, Novoselydivka, Kreminna Beam, Novodmitrovka, Vovchenki, Maximilyanivka, Dalny, Antonivka and Katerynivka. The report was not stated that the new offensive of the Russian Federation began.

On the online map of the Deepstate fighting, you can see the configuration of the front line mentioned by the Finnish analyst. The distance between the extreme points (Novodmitrovka in the north and the clear glyan in the south) - about 27 km. It should be noted that on October 28, the Armed Forces fighters showed how they reflect the storm in the Kurakhiv direction. In the video from the scene, we see a 128 brigade tank that came close to the Russian armored vehicle and completely destroyed it.