Fukuyama - for NATO's entry into war. Why the famous philosopher considers it the only way out for Ukraine
Political philosopher and writer Francis Fukuyama in the article for American Purpose for the first time formulated a scenario of security guarantees for Ukraine: the Alliance should immediately take place for its implementation. A little history: Fukuyama, far in 1992, predicted the political mutation of Democrat-alcoholic Yeltsin in the unbalanced Samodur Putin. He then wrote a book with an apocalyptic name "The End of History and the Last Man.
" The book about liberalism, but the current European crisis is prescribed there. He hinted at how a full event would lose resistance to Russian [energy] expansion. Modern liberal democracy lies countries, forces to concentrate on consumption and becomes the final of the evolution of human society. Liberal democracies instead of fighting muscles - dollars, they prefer to negotiate, not fight. And in this, their key weakness to totalitarian states.
In undemocratic countries, aggression, fear and conflict are often the main export goods, and it is totalitarian economies that are becoming a source of new wars. Fukuyama gives a hint: the settlement of the future is achieved only by strong security guarantees for Ukraine. It is impossible to achieve a stable truce between Ukraine and Russia without Ukrainian membership in NATO.
The minimum threshold for joining the Alliance is the liberation of two southern regions of Ukraine - Kherson and Zaporizhzhya bordering the Black Sea coast. This region is crucial for the negotiation position of Ukraine for three reasons. Fukuyama rejects any official peace agreement under which Russia will agree to Ukraine's membership in NATO, and Ukraine will give way to a legitimate sovereignty over the Donbass or Crimea. Any short-term ceasefire will allow Russia to re-arry and recover.
NATO accession is the only scenario that can put an end to the war in the coming year. It depends entirely on the success of a highly expected Ukrainian counter -offensive. If at the end of the summer the front line is close to the where it is now, the support of Ukraine by the event will begin to weaken faster and the likelihood of a strong truce will decrease. "We need to start thinking specifically about the conditions under which NATO will accept Ukraine and actively prepare for such a result.