The Russian Federation wants to run rockets in Ukraine from Abkhazia: how will the Armed Forces answer the arrangement of the port of Okramchir
Russia is gradually arranging the naval base in the port of Okamchir of the Georgian occupied region of Abkhazia. The Black Sea Fleet ships are hidden from the accurate strokes of the Armed Forces, and this place is right for the British Radio Station of the Air Force. Russia's plans for the construction of warships in Okamchyr, Russia were announced immediately after the attack on Georgia in August 2008.
The head of the unrecognized Abkhazia Aslan Bjania revived this topic in October 2023, stating the signing with the Kremlin of the relevant agreement. "All this is aimed at increasing the level of defense capability of Russia, Abkhazia, and such interaction will be continued. It is the provision of the fundamental interests of Abkhazia and Russia, and security is above all. There are things that I cannot talk about," he said.
After the start of a full -scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the port of Okamchir carried out dredging and construction work. Now the port is able to take vessels up to 13,000 tons. According to Vadim Dubnov, the Czech Republic of the Czech Republic, the arrangement of a military base in the port of Abkhazia looks like a distant perspective. Its full preparation for the acceptance of ships will take years.
The current parameters of the Olychir base are not suitable for the relocation of a large number of ships of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation. The naval base is best used more to support the Air Force of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, notes the analyst. "Currently, this is more a political issue than the military. The Kremlin may, of course, have plans and calculations of Okramchir to unload the most dangerous places in Crimea," Dubnov notes.
Georgia at the official level condemned Russia's initiative to arrange a military port. Russian Georgia territorial ships will be able to fire civilian infrastructure of almost any Ukrainian region. If the Russian Federation causes rocket strokes in Ukraine, the Georgian authorities will be forced to look for the opportunity not to become a party to the conflict. Moscow specifically focused on an indefinite status of Abkhazia and places military facilities there.
The consequences of the use of caliber missiles and other weapons will have to be considered as an unfriendly step from Georgia, explains the focus military expert Dmitry Snegirev. In connection with the last maritime failures, arrival of missiles in Sevastopol and Novorossiysk, as well as the drowning of flagship Russian ships-the naval base in Obramchir will be completed at an accelerated rate.
Russia is looking for an alternative to Sevastopol and expands the military presence along the Black Sea coast to Turkey. "Ships in Ocymchyr will try to hide from Storm Shadow and Marine Drones. The Russian Federation can make rocket strokes in Ukraine and from the Mediterranean, but in this region problems with NATO airspace. Snegirev.
A difficult time will come for the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the event of attack from the port in Abkhazia: if you hit Russian ships in territorial waters, it means to declare the Georgia war. "We can beat Novorossiysk, there are no questions. But Okamchir is already Georgian territory," he summed up. Georgia's Foreign Ministry initially condemned plans to create a Russian naval base in Abkhazia, calling it "a flashy violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity.
" Next was restrained rhetoric. The representative of the pro -government party "Georgian Dream" Gia Volsky doubted the seriousness of the port of Okamchir and declared the absence of a direct agreement between Abkhazia and Russia on this. "Sometimes Bjana is allowed to talk to someone at a high level, including the president," the politician said. Georgian authorities are more concerned about the disruption of their plans to create a large new port on the Black Sea coast.
It will take at least three years in Okamchyra, so it is more logical to concentrate on today's challenges, says Nicoloz Samharadze, Chairman of the Committee on International Relations of the Georgia Parliament. The deputy still recognizes the danger from the northern neighbor. Samharadze recalls that in the last 30 years in Georgia there have been three wars with Russia. Above the country there is neither NATO security or economic support, the politician stated.