"Everything is the limit": the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation come, but they suffer very large losses - Kovalenko
According to him, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation lose a record amount of living strength and equipment. However, there is a nuance. Thus, in January 2024, Russian troops lost more than 26 thousand people, in February 28. 4 thousand people, and already in March - 28. 2 thousand people. By mid -April 2024, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation had already lost almost 12. 5 thousand people.
"But the problem is that the mobilization potential in the Russian Federation now allows to supply 30 thousand bodies on a monthly basis," Kovalenko wrote. He also noted that, by eliminating 25-28 thousand Russians on a monthly basis, the defense forces do not create an imbalance in the mobilization potential of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Yes, the Russians increase the group by 2-5 thousand people a month. The knife is compensated.
The material states that the Russians feel a shortage of technology, and therefore begin to use cars, "Urals", "Urals", Bagi and even motorcycles during the assault. This is not armored equipment, and therefore not intended for fighting. Its use entails an increase in losses. Moreover, as Kovalenko noted, even if the occupier is stormed on combat equipment, many soldiers are loaded on one unit. It also increases losses.
"And right now we can see how the elimination of Russian invaders begins to approach the first limit of their mobilization potential - 30 thousand a month," Kovalenko said. He predicts that losses among Russians will only grow. Then the Russians will begin to call more people. First, 40 thousand a month, and then - 50 thousand. After that, there will be a limit. "You think it is only a theory? And look at practice.
In March 2022, RVBs lost almost four thousand bodies, and in March 2024 - more than 28 200. The loss of Russian invaders in the third year of the full -scale war increased more than seven times. " - the expert wrote. According to him, the losses of the invaders are growing faster than their mobilization system is capable of increasing the set. Without open and complete mobilization, the enemy from the situation will not be able to leave. "It's not a theory.
It is a working system of calculations," Kovalenko summarized. We will remind, the officer of the National Guard of Ukraine Maxim Matviychuk told about the new tactics of Russians on the front. According to him, now any Russian assault aims to cut off from the reserves a certain grouping of Ukrainian fighters, a position or a platoon stronghold. It was also reported that the Russians complain of flocks of drones that see them in the dark.