Night anxiety. Why Russia is firing Kiev every night and when these attacks can end
ua service, from the beginning of the month to May 20, the capital declared a alarm 23 times, with a total duration of more than 42 hours. At the end of 2022, a number of Western analysts noted that in the Russian Federation the reserves of missiles end, and it was not able to increase their production through sanctions.
In an interview with The New York Times, the deputy head of the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine said that the Russian Federation produces about 40 units of X-101 rockets on a monthly basis and the Caliber Maritime Missiles. Then, according to GUR estimates, there were rockets in the Russian Federation for 3-5 massive rocket strokes in the territory of Ukraine. Since then, the Russian command has taken a certain pause in drawing rocket strokes in Ukraine and changed tactics.
For example, in the previous two months of Kyiv, 10 air strikes were taken using missile missiles. For comparison, in January this figure is 12 attacks. On May 19, Skibitsky has already reported that the Russians now produce about 25 "calibers" per month, X-101/X-555-35 units, "daggers"-two units a month, ballistic missiles 9m723 to "Iskander-M"-P ' The units. That is, more than half a year ago.
"That is, we see that the Russians have been able to set up the supply of the necessary components, circuits and electronics despite the sanctions operating. How cynically it does not sound, but in the world of trade in weapons, one who has money can have everything. From this we see that we see that The Russian Federation can now produce high -precision missiles, though not massive, but enough for their use.
Therefore, it is not necessary to talk about missile shortages, " - explains the focus of the reserve of the Armed Forces Vladislav Seleznev. From the time of massive rocket strokes on energy infrastructure, the Russian command has moved to the tactics of combined blows, using at the same time winged rockets, shock drones and false-goals. On May 4, the Russian hypersonic missile X-47 "dagger", which the enemy was constantly terrorizing Ukraine, was shot over Kiev.
Already on May 16, the number of "daggers" reached six. All of them were destroyed in Kiev by means of the Patriot anti-aircraft missile system. Recall that by this point, Russian hypersonic missiles were considered unattainable for modern complexes of air defense and anti -missile defense. In Moscow, it was also considered so, so they were used in the capital of Ukraine, counting on the hundred percent result of destruction of the planned goal.
Former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces, Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko emphasizes that it is not necessary to count on the fact that winged missiles and drones will end in the Russian Federation. The Kremlin has significant reserves of the Soviet times, Iran conscientiously executes the arguments for the shipments of "Shahmed", and the Russian MIC was still able to establish production.
"There are enough rockets in Russia, according to some estimates, only charges up to C-300 about 5-6 thousand, many x-22, sufficient number x-101/555. But" Isanders "and" Calibra "really are in a small amount ", - says focus expert. According to Romanenko, increasing the intensity of air attacks, the Russian Federation aims to go two main goals-strikes on critical objects to reduce the offensive potential of the Armed Forces and undermine the moral and volitional state of the population.
"Despite the statement that Ukrainians, on the contrary, become more angry with the enemy, the fatigue of night alarm does not go anywhere. They have their own agent here and have a good situation and mood in Ukraine. Therefore, the attacks will continue until the fighting is over. Their intensity may change , but they will continue until the Russian Federation is able to do so, "he predicts.
The editor-in-chief of the Defense Express information and consulting company Oleg Katkov also draws attention to the psychological effect of daily air attacks on Kiev and the sound of air defense in the capital's sleeping areas. "This is without options - terror to intimidate and exhaust. Especially according to media statements about mass, large -scale blows.
But it is better not to sleep in shelter while the air defense work, than not to wake up at all when a rocket hit the house," Katkov Focus says . Vladislav Seleznev explains that the intensity of combined air attacks on Ukraine is traced by the desire to overload the work of air defense and to disrupt the offensive potential of the Ukrainian army. "They try to overload our air defense. In addition, instead of attack on critical infrastructure objects, they attack the likely locations Army.
In Russia, they are very nervous because of the Ukrainian counter -offensive and trying to weaken its opportunities. But it should be noted that we are also engaged in such things - we destroy hostile potential in the border and frontier regions of the Russian Federation, "he says. The issue of strengthening the Ukrainian PPO has been repeatedly raised in the format of a meeting of the Contact Group on Defense of Ukraine (the so -called "Ramstein") and within the limits of NATO powers.
To date, Ukraine has virtually all Western weapons for active protection of airspace from near to far radius. Among them is the modern German IRIS-T SLM, which actually runs in Ukraine its baptism, American Patriot, Italian SAMP-T and SkyGuard and Spike, Nasams 2, MIM-23 "Hawk". It is worth adding small radius complexes and portable SPRs - "Crotale", "Starstreak" "Stinger", "Mistral", "Grom", "Piorun" and Vampire Antitoner.