The reason for the Russian Federation to worry: in South Korea there are powerful opportunities to participate in the war in Ukraine - the media
Seoul threatened to send weapons and resources to Ukraine in response to the fact that its ancient enemy, the DPRK, increases the support of a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation. If this happens, Seoul may be a powerful ally. After an extraordinary meeting of the National Security Council this week, the highest officials of South Korea condemned North Korea for the correction of Russia's troops. Analysts believe that Russia has a good cause for concern.
"South Korean weapons can potentially affect both Ukraine's defense capabilities and offensive," said Jeremy Chan, an analyst from China and Northeast Asia in Eurasia Group in an interview. South Korea's ally has increased a formal arsenal of weapons over decades of confrontation with the north. It contains anti -aircraft and missile systems that can help Ukraine protect cities and infrastructure from Russian attacks, Chan said.
There are also K9 how to guns, K2 tanks and world -class volley fire systems. Seoul has already helped to put Ukraine needed 155 mm shells, though not directly. South Korea sent ammunition to Western Allies, such as the United States and Poland, who, in turn, sent their own Ukraine. Ellen Kim, an expert from Korea from the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, reported that South Korea's support may include intelligence on North Korean weapons and tactics.
"South Korea can also help in the psychological war against the North Korean soldiers who do not want to go to the war," she said. South Korea President Yun Suk Jole is unpopular within the country and will face difficulties when trying to abolish the current law through the left -center national assembly.
"The actions of North Korea should pose a clearer and immediate threat to South Korea's national security before we can expect that the National Assembly will allow weapons to Ukraine to Ukraine," Chan said. Another factor is the desire of South Korea not to destroy its relations with Russia at all, despite the fears that are increasing that the Kremlin is exacerbated by North Korea and encourages its leader Kim Jong -in, analysts say.
In exchange for North Korean shells and military support in Ukraine, the Kremlin tried to prevent the UN Inspectorate of North Korea nuclear program and may have been ready to transfer complex military technologies. In South Korea, they think about how best to restrain Russia. "Seoul believes that the threat of weapons supply gives him more levers of influence on Moscow than if South Korea began to supply weapons directly," he said.
Future diplomatic and trade relations are another reason why South Korea is hesitant to act is the likelihood of engaging in the war in Ukraine further than initially expected. "It is likely that South Korea can shoot the Russians and/or North Koreans, and it will further internationalize and expand the war," said Son McFait, a professor at Georgetown University.
According to him, the worst of the scripts may begin a nuclear war on the Korean Peninsula, through which the US and China will be involved in an armed conflict. Let it there, the Alliance of Russia and North Korea may soon reach the point when South Korea will resort to action. Due to Russia's dependence on growing, growing, Kim Jong -in finds himself in a strong negotiation position on complex technologies.