Russia is not yet ready for peace negotiations - with what mood the world enters November
After all, Russia was not able to achieve any strategic goals during the summer and autumn, so there is no reason to hope that it will be able to achieve them in the future. Meanwhile, the sanctions are getting stronger, it will only get worse, and it would be logical to take a break (which Russia needs) when things are not so bad, when it is not too late. But the negotiations will not start, because another logic is at work. First, it is impossible to simply stop the war.
A million contract soldiers cannot be left on the front line without action, cannot be returned to permanent deployment points (because they do not exist), cannot simply be returned home (because they will demolish all of Russia, as in 1917). Secondly, it is impossible to end the war without achieving at least some "objectives of the SVO", no matter what that means and no matter how they change from time to time.
Something must be presented to the masses and elites so that it can be seen that the king is the winner. And something must be done with the flamboyant machine of the military-industrial complex, the beneficiaries of which are all the highest elites of the country. So everything that happened in the summer and at the beginning of autumn will continue. What does Russia hope for? That it will still be possible to seriously break through the front somewhere.
That it will be possible to leave Ukrainian cities without light and heat, and Ukrainian society will demand a peace agreement on any terms. That Trump will once again buy into Russian promises of super projects. What does Ukraine hope for? That the Russian economy is rapidly falling into the abyss.
On the fact that Russian air defense is carried out by means of destruction and charged to Moscow, leaving more and more objects outside Moscow completely unprotected, so it will be possible to reach Russian oil exports and other key points. That sanctions reduce Russia's ability to wage war every time. What does Europe hope for? That Ukraine will gain time. To deploy own production and armed forces. To increase European unity.
What does the US hope for? On the fact that negotiations with China will begin, the subject of which will be a new world order. And then peace in the key points of the planet will be the result of establishing this order. In particular, China will help calm Russia. What does China hope for? That Russia with its huge resources will fall into his hands without a single shot.
Both in the scenario of the consolidation of power in Moscow, when the empire turns into a totalitarian state, and in the scenario of the collapse of power in Moscow, when everything falls apart chaotically, in both scenarios everything falls into the hands of Beijing. That control over the Arctic will make China the undisputed leader of the race. What is everyone else hoping for? That will pass somehow. So the world enters November with such hopes.