Russian troops will be able to start a large -scale offensive in one operational direction - ISW (map)
The Command of the Russian Federation can concentrate its offensive operation at the end of spring or in the summer of 2024. Ukrainian officials have recently warned that the occupiers along the Kharkiv-Luhansk direction accumulate personnel, as well as in the districts of Avdiivka and Bakhmut in the west of Zaporizhzhya region.
ISW experts continue to evaluate that Russian troops will probably be able to start a coordinated large -scale offensive operation in only one operational direction through planning and limited human resources. The report stated that Ukrainian troops seem to reflect the Russian battalion mechanized attack near Avdiivka on March 30. This is the first such attack since the Russian troops began a campaign to seize the city at the end of October 2023.
The Russian forces, as stated in the message, attracted 36 tanks and 12 infantry fighting vehicles (BMP) of the APC. They organized a large -scale mechanized assault near a thin on March 30. The Ukrainian forces destroyed 12 Russian tanks and eight BMP during the assault. The frontal attack could not break through the Ukrainian front line.
A positive indicator that defense forces can protect themselves from future large -scale Russian attacks and the expected offensive operation of Russia in the summer of 2024. According to analysts, Ukraine's ability to defend themselves from the offensive on March 30, especially under Avdiivka, where Ukrainian troops were forced to quickly go to new positions of defense after the loss of the settlement. The readiness of the Russian military command is recorded in the offensive near Avdiivka.