Opinions

As the organization of Wagner PEC may be weakened. As a Russian Foreign Policy tool - no

The saint will be made from Prigogine, Wagner will take some rebranding and will be even more integrated with state structures. The Kremlin's plan is exactly the same. It was clear that the riot would simply not come down from the hands of Prigogine. Here's the result. All those who participated in the rebellion, including Dmitry Utkin, were with him. They put Putin weak, shake his sole image and won a little time. And then came the expected answer.

Will Wagner's PEC weaken afterwards? As an organization is possible. As a tool of foreign policy of the Russian Federation - no. It will now be easier to climb and take control. For two months, this has been engaged in the Kremlin. Perhaps the Prigogine was removed, because it was no longer needed. He may have prepared some demarche again, who knows. In any case, it is not necessary to put a cross on the "Wagner" and the African Empire.

This story reminds me of the murder of General Kasma Suleimani, commander of the al-Kuds special unit as part of KSIR Iran. Did these elite KIR forces disappear after his death? No. Are Iran's critical opportunities to act abroad without Suleiman? No. Yes, some things began to work worse, however, the personality was extraordinary and organizational abilities. But the catastrophe did not happen, the institution quickly took control of other people. Or another example.

Syria had such "tiger forces", semi -autonomous elite detachments that earned their name in many key battles. Of course, they did not arrange the rebellion, but became too popular, especially their commander, General Sugale Al-Hasan, and they were betrayed by the Russians.

As a result, it was without murders, but the logic was the same: the General was shot down as far as possible and removed from the public plane, the officers were changed, the detachments were renamed the 25th Division of the Armed Forces of Syria, and integrated into the army. I think it will be the same. The saint will be made from Prigogine, Wagner will take some rebranding and will be even more integrated with state structures. There is no doubt that the Kremlin's plan is exactly the same.