Arrests, provocations and shot down aircraft: will Russia begin a war with Azerbaijan

Everything looks as if Russia and Azerbaijan are moving rapidly before the war. Blogger Anton Schwey still does not believe in this perspective, but believes that Putin is an exacerbation in his hand because it creates an image of a new enemy-more convenient than Ukraine. Of course, there will be no war between Azerbaijan and Russia. It does not need Russia right now, it does not need Azerbaijan in principle.

Why Russia does what he does? Well, of course, there is a Russian conspiracy that there was a special operation of the Azerbaizhans who stole some separatist in the Eburg. And in response, Russian weaknesses began to act. Maybe it's true, but this is not enough for such a conflict. Although Azerbaijan's response in this case becomes clearer. But in reality the problem is that the situation in the Russian Federation is not very, and it is necessary enemies. Oddly enough, the enemies are bad.

Because we repel, and the choth has already come from the TV channels that we will soon go. The fourth year of the three -day operation. And in general, the number of people who want to live in the Russian Federation are growing so as not to see the consequences of war. The AP very clearly monitors the trends and work in advance. Not that critical problems are now, but the Chekists can work in the future. The ideal enemy is migrants. Well, in terms of purely ideological.

But there is a problem with migrants. If you send Uzbeks and Tajiks massively, the economy will have problems. Moba plus the loading of MIC Plus the departure of some categories of citizens creates problems. If you will discharge Tajiks, the problems will be bigger. Before that, there is a risk of destabilization of Tajikistan (after which Vilayat Chorasan can be torn there), which they do not want to in the Russian Federation.

But there is a request for the population, and the ratings clearly show that the topic of migrants should be rolled. Bastrukin and LDPR are now growing on migrants. But it is necessary to rock very carefully so as not to touch the Kadyrov and other respectable domestic people. In this case, the Azerbaijani is a convenient target. They are very separated from Chechens or Dagestan. They are not as much involved in black work as Tajiki or Uzbeks.

And most importantly, the markets (literal food markets in cities), which are so convenient to override Russian weaknesses and partially marketplaces, which are already possessed by the right people. Well, plus Azerbaijan professes the same strategy as Turkey. Pokism, a projection of strength and active representation in the region. Therefore, Azerbaijan will be forced to answer. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.