"Like last year": the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can cause massive blows on New Year's Eve - expert
"We are accustomed that Russia loves conspiracy, to some dates, so we expected that they would ruin Christmas. Now most predict that New Year's Eve can have an attack as last year," Oleg Zhdanov said. He noted that it is difficult to say whether the enemy would be able to hit. In addition, it is unknown how much time the occupiers need to be restored.
In particular, ships and base Russians are transferred from Sevastopol and other Crimean ports to Novorossiysk, and also plan to build a base in Abkhazia. According to Zhdanov, it is unknown how long the enemy will carry all the equipment for storing, preparing and loading missiles on the ship. The expert believes that the enemy can accumulate rockets to attack when it becomes colder. In addition, the invaders could change the strategy.
In particular, they can accumulate rockets closer to spring for some offensive surgery or for Ukrainian to reflect, break logistics and power system. In addition, the occupiers can expect that they will need some "victory" before the presidential election, and therefore try to capture something. Zhdanov also noted that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can respond with a rocket stroke in Kiev for the destruction of the VDC "Novocherkassk", but it will not be so fast. "They (occupiers-ed.
) Need one or two days to make a decision. I would expect more the next night. If there is an answer, it will be most likely at night. Especially if our intelligence confirms that they were there" Shahda "they delivered this ship, will have to compensate for their shortage," he explained. Zhdanov emphasized that the enemy has problems with triggery despite the presence of a large number of missiles.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, which were published three weeks ago, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation accumulated about 850 missiles of different types. "But these data are a little outdated. Today we can count that they have about a thousand missiles of different types. But these missiles still need carriers or launchers. They are also not eternal and have a limited resource," he said. Russian strategic bombers also need repair and maintenance.
In addition, the enemy has problems with the "caliber" of the maritime base. The Russians are afraid to go into the Black Sea because Ukrainian aviation can already reach almost the middle of the water area. According to Zhdanov, this is due to the peculiarities of the use of the missiles themselves and their carriers. Oleg Zhdanov said that the Russian Federation has about 40-50 units of each type of missiles X-101, X-555.
However, it is not known in what condition the planes are, whether they are ready to climb into the sky and make launches. The expert recalled that during the latest missile strategic bombers, the enemy hung two missiles on the plane, while last year-eight to ten. We will remind, on December 23 the Russian military struck a rocket strike in Dnipropetrovsk and Kirovograd regions. According to Russian rockets, Ukrainian Air Defense worked.