Zaluzhny explained why after the release of Crimea the war is likely to end
In addition, the Crimea has the main base of the Black Sea Fleet and a network of aerodromes, which the occupiers use for air strikes almost all over Ukraine. Video of Zaluzhni and Zabrodsky's Day noted that in order to change the course of the war, it is necessary to effectively influence the "center of gravity" of the enemy. If such a "center of gravity" is considered control over Crimea, "it is logical to assume planning for 2023 surgery or a series of operations for mastering the peninsula.
" At the same time, the authors of the article emphasized that such planning requires an appropriate set of troops, and these are not exactly the parts and connections of the Armed Forces, which now operate on the front line of 2500 km long. “Suppose the Armed Forces have achieved full success in the 2023 campaign and mastered the Crimea Peninsula. It is difficult to overestimate the extremely positive political and informational importance of such strategic success.
However, you can evaluate the military significance of such a victory in a different way, ”the generals write. According to Zaluzhny and Zabrodsky, although the aggressor will lose the base for the Black Sea Fleet, the network of airfields, a large number of reserves of material means and probably personnel and equipment, nothing will be able to significantly interfere with the "painful but quite real relocation of the Black Sea Fleet of Novorossiysk. on the east coast of the Black Sea.
" At the same time, the military presence of the terrorist country in the region will preserve, as well as the threat of rocket strokes, and the loss of reserves of material resources and personnel will probably have a temporary effect, the article said. “Summarizing and discussing further prospects, after 2023, we can talk only about a new stage of confrontation.
Of course, with other initial data and prospects, but again - a continuing conflict, life losses, resources costs and the end result is not fully determined, ”Zaluzhny and Zabrodsky summed up. In August, there were explosions on the occupied peninsula in August. In particular, only nine aircraft used for air strikes in Ukraine at the Saky Avenue at the Saky airfield. According to CNN, this is the greatest loss of Russian aviation during the day of World War II.