"No more than four weeks": Congress believes that the US can lose war with China

Insufficient levels of industry, readiness, innovation and financing impedes the ability of the US Armed Forces to win a similar conflict, leading American experts say. The US Congress Commission concluded that the United States does not have enough potential to win in armed confrontation with China. Experts have found great differences between the expectations of the Pentagon in terms of restraint or victory in great conflict and reality. This was reported on July 29 at Defense One.

The National Defense Strategy Commission, consisting of former legislators, commanders and experts in the field of politics, studied the effectiveness of the National Defense Strategy for more than a year in 2022. On Monday, the group published its report, and on Tuesday, July 30, should present its conclusions to the Senate Committee on the Armed Forces.

Experts believe that the cooperation of Russia, China and other autocratic states increases the likelihood of a large -scale conflict, and that it will be difficult for the United States to withstand such a struggle. "The US industrial production is absolutely not enough to provide the necessary equipment, technologies and ammunition today, not to mention other requests of major armed conflict," the document reads. The report also provides the results of a conflict modeling of such a scale.

As it turned out, in the war with China, the United States exhausts their main ammunition reserves in just three to four weeks, and some weapons (such as anti-ship missiles) will be enough for only a few days. After exhaustion, the replacement of these ammunition will last years, experts emphasize.

It is said that the United States should assume that if they enter into direct conflict involving Russia, China, Iran or North Korea, then this country will receive economic and military assistance from others. "We also believe that such partnership increases the likelihood that a conflict with one of them will spread to several fronts, which will lead to a simultaneous increase in the need for US resources and their allies," the document stated.

As a result, the commission offered a number of recommendations, many of which are already accepted by the Pentagon. Among them are more active involvement of the private sector, especially new startups in the field of information technology, to create a new industrial base, as well as to review counter -productive regulations for the purchase and sale of defense technologies.