In the Russian Federation before the elections will be admitted to Yavlinsky, who opposes the war: ISW explained the logic of the Kremlin

The oppositionist will be allowed to participate in the election of the President of Russia in 2024 on certain conditions. According to analysts, Yavlinsky has agreements with the administration of Vladimir Putin. The Russian leadership does not interfere with the policy of Grigory Yavlinsky, who opposes the war in Ukraine, criticize the Kremlin's foreign policy in order to maintain the visibility of legitimacy and put out of the law of ceasefire.

About it writes "Institute of War Study" with reference to insider sources. The Russian source on December 4 reported that Yavlinsky has agreements with the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation that if he is allowed to participate in the 2024 presidential elections, he will criticize the Government of Ukraine and especially President Vladimir Zelensky.

According to the source, the Kremlin does not against the "moderate" criticism of war in Ukraine, as it is a demonstration of "pluralism of thoughts" before the 2024 presidential election. It is reported that Yavlinsky will allow no more than 1-1. 5% of the vote in the election, the same were the results in the 2018 elections. The ceasefire in Ukraine is one of the points of the election campaign of the oppositionist and founder of the apple party Grigory Yavlinsky.

In an interview with RBC, he stated that in the Russian interests to sign a peace treaty with Ukraine as soon as possible. He doubts the truthfulness of the surveys that show that most Russians support the war. Over the past one and a half years, according to him, Russian propaganda managed to sow a sense of fear among the Russians. He now collects signatures to participate in the 2024 presidential campaign.

The exchange of prisoners of war, the release of political prisoners, reform of the Russian legal system - additional points in the presidential program of a native of Lviv. In his interview, Yavlinsky noted that the Russian authorities have made sentences or investigations against other representatives of "apple". But all this happens only at the regional level.

According to American analysts, the Kremlin is refrained from repression against Yavlinsky and "apples" at the federal level to preserve the carefully created facade of opposition, democracy and electoral legitimacy. The Kremlin also probably allows Yavlinsky to talk about ceasefire in the state media so that this idea is associated with the "opposition" and to keep the Kremlin's representatives from expressing their opinion.