Incidents

Russian mobilized or volunteers: who dies more in the war in Ukraine-OSINT analyst

The OSINT analyst noticed that the number of volunteers was decreasing in the Russian army. It predicts the lack of soldiers and the fact that the Kremlin will be forced to declare mobilization. In the territory of Ukraine, military Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which belong mainly to the category of mobilized, not contractors, are killed. In turn, the experts are in the minority.

The Bulgarian OSint-analyst told about who is composition of the Russian army and what will be waiting for it, who wrote under the nickname of Stanimir DOBREV on the social network. Stanimir DOBREV gathered information in special Telegram channels, in which relatives are looking for missing persons of the military of the Russian Federation-that is, those who, who sewed everything, died.

The posts indicate certain details about the missing - his age, the region of origin, as he got into the war - whether he was mobilized, whether he went to a volunteer (contractor), or is a former prisoner. On the infographic created by the researcher, it can be seen that most of those who are looking for are residents of occupied parts of Donetsk region and Luhansk region. But he was interested in another question - the trends of mobilization in Russia. The analyst made several observations.

The Osint analyst summed up that he predicts that the Russian Federation will soon have problems with the number of people who go to fight in Ukraine. "It all indicates that data on the number of Russian armed forces is getting worse rather than improving," the researcher said. DOBREV also showed graphs showing how the number of dead Russians changes. The graphs can be seen that exzeks died most in October 2022 and in July 2023. Meanwhile, mobilized in July 2023.

In addition, the missing (dead) mobilized one and a half times more than contract volunteers. It should be noted that in the fall of 2022, partial mobilization was announced in the Russian Federation. In the summer of 2023, the Ministry of Defense GUR reported that then the Kremlin was able to attract about 400 thousand people in the Armed Forces.

Meanwhile, in the summer of 2022, the Russians from the colonies began to be taken to the troops - then the late owner of the Wagner PEC Yevhen Prigogin was engaged in this issue. In September 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin noted that he did not plan to declare additional mobilization. He pointed out that he seems to have a stable flow of volunteers.