The Russian Federation can allegedly re-apply "Orezhnik": Osint analysis showed a threat next week

The Alpha Sentauri resource analyzed the Notam message to close the airspace according to the coordinates of the Kapinin Yar. The ban on flights is valid from December 16 to December 21. At the same time, analysts stated that they "do not claim the accuracy of this information. " In recent days, information has emerged in the media that Russia may allegedly launch another medium -range ballistic missile in Ukraine in the near future.

This was reported in particular by Bloomberg, citing a source among US officials. Above Moscow today was circling a "Judicial Day aircraft", which was allegedly recorded in front of the previous launch of "Oresshnik". According to Flightradar24, real-time aircraft observation, IL-96-400VPU for FSB with the RA-96104 onboard number, at 15:22 flew from Moscow to St. Petersburg. IL-96-400VPU is an air point called "Judicial Aircraft".

It was created on the basis of the IL-96-400 aircraft at the Voronezh Airline in 2015. The aircraft was converted from the IL-96-400t cargo liner. IL-96-400 VPU is used by FSB as air control. It is a board intended for evacuation of the highest military and political leadership of the Russian Federation, as well as to manage the armed forces in a war. The aircraft can refuel directly in the air.

In turn, the Alpha Centauri project conducted exploration based on open sources (OSINT) and determined that the likelihood of impact by the "Oresshnik" exists. Thus, on November 21, the notification of the pilots and air traffic controllers was recorded not by the notification, which accompanied the impact, which was struck on that day by "Oresshnik" in Ukraine - N2171/24.

This Notam points to the closure of the airspace in the area of ​​the Kapbin Yar landfill between November 21 and 4:00 pm (local time). The ban acted from surface to infinity. The day before the system had two similar records. The first works on December 11-13 from 8 to 12 local time-N2171/24. However, it is impossible to find it in the system. The second - N2061/24 - is active and operates between December 16 and 21 at the same time. The coordinates are the same as they were on November 21.

Only in the last record (N2061/24) a new piece in Kazakhstan was added. "The first blow took place immediately at the beginning of the closing of the area, but this time they already missed the first day. Why - again a mystery, but they have 2 more days, so there could be just a transfer for technical reasons," Alpha Centauri analysts said. At the same time, the resource noted that it "did not claim the accuracy of this information" and called for not to neglect air alarm signals.