Opinions

Plan P for a bad war scenario: Ukraine needs to understand in advance all the options of its future

"I really want us to win, drive the beast into the cage and, holding hands, went to a bright future. But unfortunately, not everything and always turns out as we want. Always needed P. and understanding that in life Nothing and never goes for plan. " The idea now is the two most important things for the country: to withstand and to understand how to live on. We do not take into account the unfavorable result of the war. And it's wrong.

If there is a plan A and plan B, then it is necessary to think through P. 's plan "not in the format" everything is gone, everyone died ", but in the format" what we will do if . . . "No one, and we are, too, even, not even understand What will be considered our victory.

Borders 2022, 1991, 2014? What strategic tasks will we solve in each case? What tactical actions will be needed in each of the options? After all, victory is when after the war the country is in a better position than before the commencement of hostilities. It is also the case that the situation does not improve its position. At the moment we resisted under a blow, and this is a victory. They survived as a country, having experienced tremendous territorial, human and economic losses.

We are still in the battle, we have not yet realized that the orcs have done with our land, and thousands of square kilometers have become unusable, agriculture, need mine, disinfection. It's not a week or two. It's not before "after victory. " This is decades. Our industry in the east has ceased to exist.

Our logistics relied on the ports of the south, which are occupied, and for the normal restoration of transport arteries we need not only to repel the whole south, but also to sink the fleet, or to make it so that it does not move the nose from Novorossiysk. And what if the war goes long? How does the Kremlin's abomination plan? He is ready for it.

And we? What do we do after the hot phase? What to build? What to restore? How to get along with each other? How to think? What happens to the economy? Energy? Logistics? How to build industry under rocket threat? What to do in border areas? Anyway it will not end tomorrow. And not the day after tomorrow. And not in a year. The end of the hot phase means the end of the war. This lasting war for the final result. War on exhaustion.

It is not the atomic weapon, but the ability to survive in a situation of recession, which is growing, using scientific and technological progress. It wins not the strongest, but the smartest and most tangible. Anyone who will be able to adapt and get a positive result in the most unfavorable conditions. We should not expect the last shot and parade of Ukrainian troops on Red Square. The next offensive is not Berlin.