Israel against Iran: Will Russia lose an important ally in the war with Ukraine
"These goals are located in the villages near the border and pose a direct threat to Israeli communities in the north of Israel," Tahal said. According to Times of Israel, Israeli officials have informed US colleagues that the purpose of the operation was to eliminate the positions of "Hezbollai" along the northern border of Israel, to create conditions for a diplomatic agreement, according to which the force of the group will be rejected for the Elite River. The UN Sec.
US President Joe Biden has said he planned to negotiate with the Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyag, and also believes that the full-scale war in the Middle East should be avoided. CNN, referring to its sources in the White House, reports that the US Presidential Administration is "seriously concerned" by the fact that Iran is probably preparing an operation-pound of Israel, after Livan Beiruta killed the leader of Iran's support in the capital of Livan Beiruta. Hezbollah Hasana Nasrall.
Meanwhile, the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said: "Moscow proceeds from the fact that Israel wants to draw the United States into the war in the Middle East, while Iranian leaders behave extremely responsibly, so it is necessary to evaluate properly.
" The deputy of the State Duma of the Russian Federation, the leader of the Party "Fair Russia - for the truth" Sergey Mironov, who after the liquidation of Nasralla stated that Russia should follow this example and eliminate the heads of Ukraine. "I am convinced that without the elimination of the criminal terrorist regime of Zelensky and his leaders, the purpose will not be achieved," Mironov said.
Iranians are well aware that the main task of the Israelis is the strategic impression of Iran, which can only be achieved by the US involvement in the war, says Igor Semivolos, director of the Center for Middle Eastern Research. "Iran is still hesitant, but the hesitation period will end after Brix summit in Kazan October 22-24. Iran needs an agreement with Moscow, where security should be guaranteed.
It is a pity, if they jump), but a long conflict automatically generates new lines of breakage, so it is not very good for us, " - states Semivolos. To some extent, experts with whom the focus spoke with. In particular, political scientist Igor Petrenko in conversation with Focus notes: "For Russia, a new hot spot is, first of all, a new point of attention of Ukrainian allies who will use not only diplomatic but also financial resources here.
Therefore, the Kremlin is interested in destabilization and conflicts where conflicts He does not participate directly. " Meanwhile, emphasizing that the resources of the Russian Federation are unnecessary, the political scientist added: "Russia spends huge resources on the war in Ukraine, neglecting the needs of its own population.
But at the same time, the Russian Federation will try to help Iran through the supply That is, Moscow will not play a decisive role here, but it is exactly the subject that is able to throw shrubs in the fire of the Middle East conflict, and therefore its forces in the Russian-Ukrainian war are not substantially, but weaken, "-concludes Igor Petrenko.
For his part, political scientist Igor Reityrovich in conversation with focus makes the following emphasis: "The opportunity to throw some resources in the benefit of Iran in the Russian Federation is very, very limited. Moreover, the Kremlin will be serious East. Tehran stated that not officially participating in the operation in Lebanon, his proxy groups there will inevitably support, providing financial, military, technical and technological assistance.
From the point of view of the fact that it will distract from the Russian-Ukrainian war. Staying that Israel is currently demonstrating an individual force that allows not to attach the United States, the political scientist emphasized: "So the Kremlin is unlikely to receive at least some serious dividends from the Middle East exacerbation and to unpack it in its favor.
" Ukraine, however, believes Igor Reityrovich, it is not profitable for the conflict in the Middle East in this format is delayed, as this will dispersal the forces of the Kyiv Allies. "The problem of delay is really, but whether it is global is a question. The Middle Eastern conflict is valid for decades and at least that it has now been seriously intensified, does not mean something extraordinary, because the world is used to it," the expert emphasizes.
In addition, in his opinion, the further process of forming the so -called "axis of evil" with the likely participation of the Russian Federation can become a fairly advantageous history for Ukraine, because "someone will be additionally and widely open their eyes and they will see what Russia is capable of and what it is creating ". "In general, I would not draw apocalyptic conclusions for Ukraine because of exacerbation in the Middle East.
Since the situation is sufficiently controlled and it develops in such a scenario that is accurately disadvantageous Russia, you should not worry. But if Iran is directly involved, and on the other hand. B States, then we would really be nervous, and seriously. - summarizes Igor Reityrovich. The political scientist Petro Oleshchuk also holds a similar opinion.
"Since Iran is not directly involved in the Middle Eastern conflict, it is not necessary to talk about serious involvement of the Russian Federation. The Kremlin will turn on in this direction at high speeds its propaganda machine. With aviation. Russia, the big question, " - the expert notes in conversation with focus.
According to Petr Oleshchuk, Ukraine "spills problems" is not so exacerbation in the Middle East as the fact that the Russian Federation "in any weather and schedules in the Middle East will continue to cooperate with Iran. " In this context, it should be noted that no further than September 30, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin met with President Iran Masud Pesshkian and stated that Moscow and Tehran would sign a "comprehensive agreement" about strategic cooperation at the future of Brix.