Completion of the war in 2025: What is the prediction of bookmakers
This is evidenced by the graphs of the pond published on the Polymarket portal. The forecast for the completion of the Russo-Ukrainian War appeared on the portal on December 31, 2024, a month after that Donald Trump won in the United States in the United States. The schedule started at the probability of 60%, on January 11 fell to 56%. As of December 13, 70% of the likelihood that the war will end by the end of 2025.
At the same time, the growth of 15% occurred after the communication of Donald Trump, Vladimir Zelensky and Vladimir Putin, which took place on February 12. On the portal you can see what predictions about other events related to the war of the Russian Federation: users of the bookmaker portal have previously guessed a number of events related to the United States. For example, they provided Trump's winnings in the US elections.
One of the forecasts was about the end of the war within 90 days after winning. In addition, the last thing they predicted is to increase US tariffs for trade with Mexico, the USA and China. It should be noted that the chances of the end of the war changed after the phone calls between the leaders of the three countries that took place on the evening of February 12. Focus said that at first Donald Trump called Vladimir Putin.
The US President reported that Putin, as it turned out, was also concerned about the death of millions of Russians. As a result of communication, they decided to create two teams, Russian and American, which will start negotiations on peace. Trump's conversation with Zelensky took place an hour after Putin's call. The President of Ukraine has stated that communication with the US President was "good": they talked about drones, weapons, as well as various diplomatic and economic issues.