Putin plans to capture the Sumy region: analysts explained whether the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces were possible to Sumy
In the report of analysts, which appeared on May 21, the reason for Putin's visit to the Kursk region was voiced. On May 20, the Kremlin head listened to the request of two regional top officials who asked to create a "buffer zone" to protect the Russian population. In response, the President of the Russian Federation agreed that it is really worth doing. ISW named two reasons for this decision. The first reason - Putin wanted to show himself "an effective and involved wartime leader.
" The second is that the sums will be an argument for possible future negotiations: the Russians will claim that another Ukrainian region is claiming. "Putin may intend to use further promotion in the Sumy region to demand from Ukraine to transfer part of the Sumy region of Russia during future peace talks," the report reads. ISW also explored the forces that the Russian Federation gathered in the Kursk region on the border with Sumy.
As the military observer Konstantin Mashovets wrote, there are two motor-rifle divisions (18-A and 72nd divisions, the number of people-8-12 thousand in each) and the 83rd Airborne Brigade (about 3. 5 thousand). Such an army is not enough to occupy the great Ukrainian city of Sumy, in which 250,000 people lived before the war, indicated in the report. Analysts explained that the last major city that the Russians captured is Lisichansk.
It happened in the summer of 2022 and demanded from the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation Nadzusil and long -term fights. After that, no such "success". On this basis, ISW summarized that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are not able to occupy the amounts located 25 km from the border.
"Russian troops are unlikely to be able to capture the city of Sumy in the near future and medium term, given Russia demonstrated in the inability to quickly seize even much smaller settlements in Ukraine in the last three years," ASW analysts emphasized. It should be noted that Focus wrote about Putin's visit to the Kursk region, during which statements about a new offensive of the Russian Federation in the Sumy region of Ukraine were heard.
The Kremlin head arrived in the city of Kurchatov, located 60 km from the Ukrainian border. During a meeting with local officials and the population, the President of the Russian Federation acknowledged that the Armed Forces were trying to attack the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Kursk region, and stated that it was necessary to create a "buffer zone" in the Ukrainian territory.