"Tactics rather than a harbinger of catastrophe": an expert told about the Armed Forces situation in Bakhmut

According to Mika Ryan's military analyst, the possible exit of Ukraine's defense forces from the city will not become a catastrophe if organized organized. The losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can reach 80%, which is unacceptable when the front line is stretched for thousands of kilometers. After eight months of fighting, the Russian forces were approaching the capture of Bakhmut, a city where no more than 10% of the population is left, compared to a full -scale invasion.

It reports CNN in an article published on March 6. Ukrainian defenders in the eastern Bakhmut are under the fire of artillery, mortars and air attacks, moreover, we have to resist numerous terrestrial forces - regular Russian troops and mercenaries with Wagner PEC. But even if Bakhmut falls, it will not be possible to say that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation studies at its military mistakes.

Mick Ryan, the former General of the Australian Army and the author of the newsletter Warinthefuture believes that the Ukrainian forces can decide that they have already achieved everything that could have been while remaining on defensive boundaries in Bakhmut, and retreat for preservation. At the same time, he does not consider a possible retreat of the Armed Forces a catastrophe if the exit is organized.

"It should be considered as ordinary tactics, not a harbinger of the disaster," he explained. The Armed Forces was used Bakhmut to cause losses in the live force of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. According to some estimates, the ratio of losses is 7: 1. To some extent, the battle for Bakhmut has shown that the Russians changed the tactics of war or trying to do so. They still rely on a heavy non -seed (artillery, howitzers, RSSV, bombing from the air).

The same was in Mariupol, Severodonetsk and Lisichansk a year ago. Briefly, it is not to leave the buildings where you could hide. The difference is that Soledar and Bakhmut had waves of the Prigogine mercenaries from Wagner PEC. In this approach, when the wave behind the wave of cannon meat comes to Ukrainian positions, the losses of the aggressor can reach 80%, which is unacceptable in conditions when the front line reaches thousands of kilometers.

According to some estimates, this can provoke riots among Russian troops. We will remind that on March 4, Yevgeny Prigogin told about the collapse of the front to the borders of the Russian Federation, if the Wagner PEC will depart from Bakhmut. According to the founder of the group of mercenaries, the retreat of Russian troops causes the "spring effect": the Ukrainian forces will break from all sides.