British intelligence considers it very unlikely that any further wave of mobilization in the Russian Federation will be made before the presidential election in March 2024. The presidential election in Russia will take place on March 17, 2024. Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia, will almost probably run again, despite the fact that he has not yet declared publicly about his intentions.
"There is suggested that Putin's election campaign will unofficially begin in November 2023," the post reads. Although elections in Russia are the object of intervention and control by the Kremlin, for the present government it is the only way of political legitimation. The UK Ministry of Defense believes that Putin's election campaign will concentrate on Russia as a separate civilization that requires protection against "aggressive external enemies".
This narrative, which is often used to justify the actions of the state and Putin and consolidate power. We will remind, the analysts of ISW on October 9 reported that the Russian authorities are probably intending to withdraw the ratification of the contract on a comprehensive ban on nuclear tests.
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