But more severe sanctions against Russian oil can lead to a decrease in the revenues of the aggressor budget and liquidity problems in the public finance system. The economist, ex-member of the NBU Council Vitaliy Shapran, told this in a comment to the focus. "In peacetime, the production of most products is balanced around national wealth. The tractor produced continues to harvest 5-10 years, to smell and sow.
For example, a produced tank somewhere in the Urals eventually become a scrap in the marten furnace Kryvorizhstal. These costs are more intense, especially the Russian economy loses, "the expert says. In his opinion, oil is the foundation in financing the war with Russia. "But we will not forget what is still a profitable Rosatom, a manufacturer of steel Seversstal, Noryl nickel, Rusal, etc. There are several more groups of companies that produce diamonds, gold.
All this" roundabout "should be covered which the currency is purchased to Russia, which weapons and spare parts are bought in the black market, "Vitaliy Shapran said. If Ukraine with the allies finds the opportunity to increase the loss of Russian Federation, as was done with the closure of gas transit, then the issue of economic collapse of Russia expert explained that the US is gradually increasing the sanction pressure on the Russian Federation.
But the Russians find new ways of bypassing these sanctions in 2-3 months, and then new sanctions are introduced, and a kind of chess game is obtained. "The current package of sanctions (new US sanctions - focus) is very powerful and most likely block the supply of Russian oil to the PRC and India by the sea, but to expect that 100%is not required.
Therefore, the negative effect for the Russian Federation will be accurate, but it will Depth will depend on the coherence of Ukraine's actions with the allies, " - said Vitaliy Shapran. Speaking of what the economy of Russia will be in 2025, the expert noted that the large -scale expenses for war and acceleration of these expenditures together with the beginning of Kursk operation and intensive shelling of Ukraine and Ukraine, including.
Military and economic purposes in the Russian Federation lead to the fact that resources in the Russian Federation are completed. "If Ukraine with allies finds the opportunity to increase the loss of the Russian Federation, as was done with the closure of gas transit, or blows to the Russian refinery, then on the agenda in the Russian Federation the issue of economic collapse will be more likely. In this case, the war in Ukraine will end, as it is recently. It ended in Syria.
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