Nuclear trap: How Putin and Xi Jinping caught Trump on a hook

Having not achieved specific results in achieving its main goal - the end of the war between Russia and Ukraine - Donald Trump seems to be interested in others an extremely ambitious project. Last week, the President told reporters that he would initiate negotiations with Russia and China on nuclear disarmament. "We cannot allow nuclear weapons to spread. We must stop nuclear weapons. Her power is too big," he said.

Focus translated the article "Putin and Xi lured Trump into his nuclear trap" British Analytics Rebecca Coffler on The Telegraph. The author investigated the US proposals for limiting certain weapons, and explained what the Russian Federation and China's answers and whether Washington's ideas are the threat of nuclear war. With his applove, Trump stated that "Russia is ready to do it, and I think China will be ready too.

" Some may seem an unusual choice of the moment for this statement, made immediately before the important Chinese summit, at which Xi Jinping and Putin openly demonstrated hostility to the United States. But the President has repeatedly embarrassed his critics, having won the domestic and international arena, which many considered it impossible.

Unfortunately, with all respect for Trump, the conclusion of a trilateral agreement on nuclear weapons between Washington, Moscow and Beijing is a grand and probably unattainable project, no matter how noble his intention. This is the way to nowhere for several reasons. The most obvious: China will almost probably not sign any nuclear weapons control agreement, neither bilateral nor trilateral.

Beijing strategic calculations, threat assessments and doctrine of war require an increase rather than a decrease in its nuclear arsenal, as China seeks to reduce a break with the United States and Russia, which have approximately 90% of the world's nuclear weapons. China intends to triple its current nuclear arsenal by 2035, which has about 500 warheads, to a level approximately equal to the arsenals of the United States and Russia.

The lessons made by Beijing from the war between Russia and Ukraine only increased his determination to increase the nuclear arsenal of the country. NATO's decision not to check Russia's readiness to apply tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield in Ukraine limited assistance, which Kiev could count during the conflict. China seeks to achieve a similar restraining effect on Taiwan.

China accelerates the creation of new rocket mines, starting installations and warheads and is unlikely to change the course before the planned invasion of Taiwan. Beijing repeatedly rejected the US proposals for denuclearization, noting that he was not interested in joining bilateral negotiations between Russia and the US.

Last Wednesday, Guo Jiakun, a representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, excluded Beijing's participation in tripartite negotiations on nuclear disarmament, calling them "unreasonable and unrealistic. " "China and the US are at a completely different level in terms of nuclear potential," Guo told journalists.

Indeed, Beijing views Washington's initiative as an intention to prevent him from holding back US interference in conflict between China and Taiwan, accusing Trump's administration of creating "treacherous plans. " In 2020, the FU KOP, the then head of the Department of Control of Arms of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and now a permanent representative of China at the UN, ridiculed Washington's proposals.

"I can assure you: if the US is said to be ready to go to China, China will gladly accept their offer the next day. But we know well that it will not happen," he said during a press conference. Contrary to Trump's opinion, Putin also has no influence on decision -making. Despite the numerous public demonstrations of "strategic partnership" and the friendly behavior of Putin and this week, Russia and China are geopolitical rivals and potential future opponents in the Land War in the Far East.

The population of China is significantly exceeding the population of Russia (1. 4 billion against 143 million), while the territory of Russia is almost twice the territory of China (6. 6 million square meters against 3. 7 million square meters). Moscow and Beijing, which in their stormy history have repeatedly experienced clashes on the border and have not yet resolved a territorial dispute in the Far East of Russia, may well consider that a future conflict is only a matter of time.

Faced with the demographic reduction in the country and migration of China citizens to the Far Eastern Region, Putin warned Putin in 2000 that, if in the short term, it will be neglected in the short term, then "in a few decades, it will speak in a few decades of Japanese, Chinese and Korean.

Unlike their western colleagues who tend to think short -term, Russian and Chinese strategic planners evaluate threats for 50 years or more ahead and probably have in the stock plans for hostilities in the event of a future conflict on the Far Eastern border of Russia and China. Tactical nuclear weapons are a central component of the Russian defense strategy against Chinese invasion, while Beijing has historically focused on human resources and conventional ammunition in its plans.

It is also known that Russia has already "simulated" the Chinese invasion, including training, which provides for a potential task of tactical nuclear blows to counteract hostile forces. Although they do not recognize this publicly, Russian military strategists consider China the second largest geopolitical threat after the US and NATO.

Putin will probably agree with the proposal of Trump, showing interest in negotiations on the nuclear program and increasing his influence on SI, as part of his plan: to outsmart US leader, to win Ukraine and to delay economic sanctions. "Nuclear Agreement" is another focus of Putin, designed to support Trump's ambitions to receive the Nobel Peace Prize and not to cause his anger, regardless of the lack of progress in Ukraine.

It is unclear why Trump is subjected to Putin's trick, because Russia's experience in controlling weapons clearly shows that nuclear forces will remain the central element of Moscow's military strategy for the next decades. Moscow has been modernizing its already significant nuclear arsenal for over ten years. Putin was released from the Medium and Low Range Missiles Treaty (RSMD), and in 2023 - and from the Treaty on a comprehensive prohibition of nuclear testing (dwarf).

Russia has already developed missiles that violate the contract, such as SSK-8 (9m729) "Outlet". That is why Trump suspended the USA during his presidency in the RSMD treaty. After all, maintaining enemy communication channels is always good because it reduces the risk of misunderstandings and unintentional wars. How much time and human resources to invest in an unattainable project of denuclearization of China, Russia and the USA - the Trump decision.