Unlimited war. Why Putin is preparing to celebrate Victory Day on May 9, 2025

With the great fate of probability we can assume that Putin has put himself a new deadline end of the war - the eighty years of victory in the Patriotic War, writes journalist Vadim Denysenko. But also, with a great deal of probability, he suggests that this day will not be festive for Putin with a high probability that Putin has put a new deadline for the end of the war - the eighty anniversary of the Victory in the Patriotic War. But we can also say that this day will not be festive for Putin.

Putin held a long meeting on this (not the first, but the first such large -scale). To start preparing for such a celebration for a year and a half is, of course, an extraordinary event, and it clearly goes beyond the simple celebration. Actually, this holiday, apparently, in Putin's head and his environment is reduced to at least three aspects: 1. The complete unity of Russians around the idea of ​​victory and Putin, as its embodiment.

Against this background, it should be noted that the March presidential elections are no longer considered as the election, it is a referendum on Putin's right to unlimited (in all aspects) war. Even easier: it is a referendum that the war is more important than the refrigerator. This is the most painful issue for the Kremlin, because ruble problems and price growth has become a key problem for the entire Russian population.

The game Putin led for the last year and a half has been reduced to a simple formula: "The main thing was worse" - now began to crack at the seams. The people in all polls say that it has become worse, and therefore now a key aspect of the Kremlin's propaganda is searched for replacement of this formula: it is too visible that life in material terms is deteriorating. And in fact, so far not known, the formula will become the basis of information campaign for next year.

But again, Putin made a decision on the war to his victory with all the appropriate consequences. And 09. 05. 2025 is a dream of a quick one, paradoxically, the end of the war. And the hope for the Russian population, which should be tolerated only before May 2025 2. It is a demonstration to all negotiations that Putin does not yet need intermediaries and will now solve his problems himself.

Negotiations with Erdogan indirectly confirmed this: two days have passed, and we have not yet heard about the "secret files" that Putin passes through Erdogan. And the reason is not the secrecy, but, apparently, in the absence of the same files. It is a strange, at first glance, a position related to Putin's main negotiation points. He knows only one technique: raising the pond, and therefore he decided that until he had nothing to raise the bet, he would not negotiate.

Now he is searched for, and what could cause raising rates: the war in Niger, which has not been known as the DPRK, which he, as for me, will not be able to convey, or something else - we do not know. Putin is searched for what he could raise. 3. Pressing nuts in the Russian Federation, primarily for the media and elites. As of now, the Kremlin has been fully controlled by channels and troops.

But at the same time, the system, which has been built for decades, cracked: still, every segment of Russian society had its own set of competing media. Now a large layer of Russian society, which was looking for the truth about the situation on the front or at the top of the military, or from the media of the media, has lost its "verified" source of information.

And here, as strange as it may sound, there is a small window of opportunity for our CLOs, which can become such sources of information for some of the Russians. Other supporters of the military will try to collect information on the particles, but it is important to us: in the Russian Federation the war began for the marginalization of part of ura patriots.

The Kremlin's formula is simple: or you support our vision of the world, where the 80th anniversary of victory is the apotheosis of everything, and you are silent about the situation on the fronts-you have all well. If not - the fate of Gorkin awaits you. The situation is similar to elites.

Only here, examples are not Girkin, but a prison, who was killed despite the fact that Putin gave the word not to touch him and thus violated a 30-year tradition that Putin always holds the word-and elections in Hakasia. In Hakasia, elites were shown: it will be as the Kremlin wants, or in no way.

Simply put, Russia is now in the next round of twisting nuts, where consensus elite is reduced to the new formula for the formula, "everything is subject to Putin's ideas and several people from his environment to wage an unlimited war. And you agree or destroy. " These are Putin's plans. But life will make corrections (and make).