Next step: Putin can knock down a passenger aircraft over Europe - Daily Mail

According to Matthew Bori, the Osprey Flight Solutions consulting company intelligence specialist, after the airline incident that operates to Poland, may consider flights to the west of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus to avoid conflict zones. According to him, they can even limit flights only day hours and have additional fuel in case of possible deviations from the route, similar to the measures taken in the Middle East.

The worst scenario for airlines operating near the conflict zone is to get into the aircraft - accidental or deliberate. According to Osprey, six commercial aircraft have been shot down since 2001, and three of them have been on the verge of a disaster. In December 2024, one of these incidents in December 2024 in Kazakhstan crashed aircraft "Azerbaijani Airlines", which killed 38 out of 67 people on board. According to President Azerbaijan, the plane was shot down by Russian air defense.

The Russian President did not say that the plane was knocked down by Russia, but apologized for the fact that the "tragic incident" occurred in the airspace of his country. In 2014, Russia shot down the Malaysia Airlines aircraft MH17 over the East of Ukraine, causing all 298 people on board, including 196 Netherlands and 38 residents of Australia. Only 11 years after a plane crash in May 2025, the UN Council from aviation decided that Russia was responsible for the event.

Moscow called this decision "scandalous". The Kremlin has always denied any responsibility for the incident. "If this happens more often, you need to really understand what happens . . . What can go wrong? I always say that the biggest risk is incorrect identification," said Eric Shaten, head of Dyami consulting company. The invasion of Russian drones into Poland has again increased fears of civil transport safety in Europe, aviation and insurance.

The Chopin and Modlin Warsaw Airports, as well as Rzeszu and Lublin Airports in the East, are temporarily closed before recovery. The growing number of conflicts around the world increases the load on the airline and reduces their profitability, which exacerbates security problems and disrupts passenger traffic.

The closure of airspace over Russia and Ukraine, all over the Middle East, between India and Pakistan, and in some parts of Africa, led to a reduction in the choice of routes from airlines. Aviation analysts say that airlines are increasingly afraid of the risks associated with invasion of civilian flight areas. "I think it's an alarming signal for all in Europe, who can expect more often," said Esuten. We will remind, Focus wrote about the invasion of Russian drones into Poland.