The event will be held in two stages: from Tuesday, 9 to Thursday, August 11 - in the areas of training in the territory of Belarus; From Monday, 22 to Thursday, August 25 - within the territory and airspace of the Ashuluk landfill. "Training" is involved: earlier Belarus announced the beginning of "mobilization exercises" on the border with Ukraine, which has continued several times.
At the end of May, the Ministry of Defense of Belarus announced that on behalf of Lukashenko they would create a "people's militia". On June 7, the Belarusian Army began with "combat readiness". Also Lukashenko, who seized power in Belarus, began training with "transition from peaceful in wartime", Ukrainian intelligence reports.
British intelligence believes that Lukashenko balances between the support of the Russian Federation against Ukraine and the desire to avoid direct military participation with the risk of Western sanctions, a Ukrainian blow in response and possible dissatisfaction in the Belarusian Armed Forces. On June 6, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the risks of re -invasion of Belarus are minimal, but Ukraine is preparing for all possible scenarios.
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