Chaotic promises that have nothing to do with reality. Festival of dubious ideas that promise the country all but predictability. Five years ago, people without experience and competencies were included in our country. The election triumphs concentrated in their hands unprecedented powers - and we have only to think of what the country would bring this electoral experiment.
At that moment, everything that happened was perceived as a crash test for the system-and we could only hope that the state would be strength to pass it. And for the next three years, they watched the reality of all who planned to ignore this reality. Now the turn of the United States has come. The American triumph can promise to end our war after inauguration. The status of a presidential candidate allows him to live in his own world, but after joining him, he will not avoid meeting reality.
And at this moment he will expect many surprises. He has to find out that the US has pressure tools on Ukraine, but almost no one for pressure on Russia. That any initiative with the Kremlin peacekeepers are equal to the introduction of foreign troops into the territory of its subjects of the Federation. Since Moscow has entered in its constitution Zaporozhye and Kherson, any idea of freezing the front line for it is equal to the rejection of its own regional centers.
Donald Trump should find that Moscow does not need a buffer with Ukraine, but Ukraine - like a buffer. That the US president has nothing to offer Russian, except for his own humiliation. That the Kremlin's head lives in his reality - and will continue to stay there until he is lacking on that resources. There are no simple solutions in complex phenomena. The Ukrainian president knows this as no one.
He promised to finish the war in the Donbass, but it turned out that he was either capitulated or continued to resist. Now it is a triumphant of the American race - and from January we will watch out what choice it will make. Both presidents initially accused of continuing the war of their predecessors. But the only reason for the invasion sits in the Kremlin, and Donald Trump's turn came to this conclusion. The reality is tightened.
The only condition in which you can ignore it is when you are sure that you will not have to pay for a mistake. Georgian politicians could tell the Ukrainian president a lot. We have been monitored as the elites of this country give up the European course. They are adopted by the worst authoritarian practices. They leave Western orbit - to move to Russian. We can seem to us a random political dislocation. Self -government of politicians who decided to tap the country's sovereignty.
But everything that happens is just a summary when the victim is left alone with the aggressor alone. Georgia not only lost its war in 2008. In addition, she was left without guarantees of her unique. The event did not guarantee the country security. She did not equip her army. Did not place his bases. As a result, the fear of a new invasion began to give birth in Georgian society a request for peace. The request for peace brought to power those who promised to negotiate.
Agreements with the aggressor threaten life according to the rules of the aggressor. All this can be a Ukrainian scenario - if our war also end without guarantees of its uniqueness. Therefore, in all possible configurations of the Ukrainian future, the key is not to be afraid of this future. If Ukraine receives the first tier of Maslow Pyramid - the one that is about safety - then future generations of Ukrainians have a chance not to look at Russia.
Instead, in such a scenario we will have something to learn from Europe. When the whole political discussion is that one camp wants to save democracy and the other calls for rescuing a nation. It is this trend that is fashionable with our neighbors. When the party elections compete with the parties of monotony. When the calls for inclusivity are opposed to the slogans of seclusion. I think we can easily fit into the overall trend.
Finally, forget about the usual confrontation between the adherents of the Soviet past and the Ukrainian future. But changing the political register awaits us only if we are not left alone. If cynics understand the benefits of values. If the very idea of war with us is pumped into the category of too destructive adventure. Five years ago, Ukraine voted in favor of the illusion of easy solutions - but they did not withstand reality. Now the same way has to go through the United States.
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