Occupation of 4 oblasts: how real Putin's plans are about capturing the new territory of Ukraine

About it reports Bloomberg with reference to sources close to the Kremlin. Putin is convinced that by the end of the year the Russian army will be able to break through Ukrainian defense and establish control of four regions. There are currently no signs that Putin is ready to stop the fighting because Russian troops are slow but moving on the front. The focus, along with military experts, figured out whether the enemy had a certain resource and potential for the capture of Ukrainian territories.

At the current rate of promotion of the Russian army, these plans are unrealistic, says military expert Oleg Zhdanov. It reminds that according to the Institute of War Study and some Western analytical centers to achieve the set goals - to completely capture 4 regions - the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will take more than 9 years. "However, there is a sufficient human resource in Russia. If there is a lack of equipment or weapons - they will fight infantry.

If there are no armored vehicles - throw people in" meat storms ". If armor is - they go on armored vehicles. And when it is miss To break through. According to the expert, these ambitious statements of Putin are part of the negotiation game. Putin needs to demonstrate Donald Trump (or other Western leaders) that Russia is "coming" that "everything goes on plan. " "He is not interested in losses. He is reported daily about the settlements taken, show flags in the photo.

Even if it was a DRG (a sabotage and intelligence group) that the Ukrainian forces have already destroyed, an important picture for him. He publicly states:" We will achieve all the goals by the end of the year.

" The expert is convinced that physically the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to capture 4 regions of Ukraine (Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia, Kherson) by the end of the year, but Putin seeks to show intentions: if not to take them by force, at least to force Ukraine to remove the troops politically.

Military analyst Dmitry Snegirev reminds that during the negotiations in Istanbul, a Russian delegation in an ultimate form demanded that Ukraine would remove its troops from the controlled units of Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions. Otherwise, Russia will zoom in combat and attacked other regions - especially Sumy, Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

"It is a threat of the invaders to the administrative boundaries of Dnipropetrovsk, in particular in the Novopavlovsk-Pokrovsky direction. It is important that the same messages are picked up by Western media-for example, Bloomberg. And this is not the first time: the agency's estimates are suspiciously coincide with the position of Russia. " According to Snegirev, it is part of the information operation.

Through the western sites, Russian special services, directly or indirectly, promote their own vision of the end of the war. This is usually done on the eve of important events, such as Putin's possible negotiations and US President. So they form an information agenda for the Western audience. At the same time, these messages are not from the mouth of Medvedev or Skabeva, but from the influential Western media. "And this is a problem.

Because the Ukrainian media often repeat these" news "without understanding their origin. It gives rise to narts of inferiority in our society:" If the Western media was said, then it is true. " According to Snegirev, the situation is difficult throughout the front line, which extends more than 1200 km. The most comprehensive - in the Donetsk direction. Russia replenishes the staff of 50-60 thousand monthly.

The Russian Federation has improved UAVs - now they work outside the area of ​​defeat of Ukrainian mobile air defense (up to 3 km in height), which complicates their interception. However, there are no real chances in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to fully capture 4 Ukrainian regions. "Russia's main goal is to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk region. Luhansk is almost completely occupied.

After that, the Kremlin will try to impose a new round of negotiations," the analyst said. Recall that Russian troops strengthen the bases and build military infrastructure near the border with Finland. These actions can reveal their strategy as to what will happen after the war in Ukraine. In 2025, Russian troops are increasingly using motorcycles and easy transport for assaults, trying to compensate for the lack of armored vehicles.