"Wants to usurp power": the expert told who is able to arrange a state of government in the Russian Federation

It is very difficult to predict when this moment comes," he said. Earlier in Kyiv Post Jason Jay Smart wrote that the escalation of relations between Prigogin and Putin was ongoing, although they had close, friendly relations before. Therefore, as it is expected, the head of the Wagner PEC has a chance to take the first place in the political arena in Russia.

The publication writes that Prigogine has had problems with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoig for many years, but his anger intensified when the Kremlin has appropriated the admiration of the Ukrainian Soledar. According to Smart, the war with Ukraine is still popular with Russian citizens. Moreover, last year's forecasts for the removal of Putin from power by oligarchs because of Western sanctions that harm the Russian economy have not come true.

"History, however, shows that sometimes leaders fall not because they have done something wrong in the eyes of their citizens, but simply because the young lion wants to usurp the power of the old king," Smert said. According to him, a "young lion" in this situation can be a prigen, which becomes one of the centers of force. However, he will have to take a few steps to overthrow Putin. First of all, he needs to eliminate any potential opponents.

For example, Chechnya's head Ramzan Kadyrov or the same shoig. Then, according to Smart, Prigogine will have to legitimize himself. In addition, it may try to enlist the support of the event. However, the Western countries will want to receive security guarantees from Prigogine. This is especially true of nuclear weapons in Russia. At the same time, the head of PEC "Wagner" can agree on the complete departure of Russian troops from Ukraine.

"I think the most likely - with a probability above 95% - the most likely ending of this war will be Putin's replacement or his death, death, care," Smert told reporters. Earlier, Prigogine showed the corpses of "Wagner", which was not enough ammunition. The founder of Wagner PEC complains that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation "dropped" it, and the losses in the ranks of mercenaries should be 5 times smaller.