Russia is afraid to be late: why under Pokrovsk the enemy threw half of his strength

So the command of the enemy of the enemy "Center" continues to break through to Pokrovsk from the south, for which the 2nd Army (ID) and the whole number of general military (ID) were involved in the full composition "Interacting" formations-from the 41st General and 90th Separate Tank Division (TD).

In early autumn, I wrote that it is likely that my active actions in the Kurakhiv direction (especially in the area of ​​Selidovo) command of the enemy, with a great deal of probability, will subsequently use to try a short but powerful jerk towards Pokrovsk. Two things testified to this: then it was not yet clear on which the enemy the enemy would try to make this "jerk". I assumed that it would be somewhere from Mykolaivka to Lozuvatsky.

At that moment, the enemy just finished the heavy fights for Grodivka, managed to cross the river Zhuravka, and there, and in the area of ​​Mykolaivka, created tactical bridges. And I suggested that in the context of events in the Toretsky direction, the enemy would attempt to increase efforts in this direction and break into the New Economic and Mirnograd, covering Pokrovsk from the north and northeast. As it turned out, I was not quite right.

The enemy really prepared a jerk for Pokrovsk, but elsewhere - south (and west from Selidovo), under the general directorate of Selidovo - Novotroitske. To carry out this "jerk" the command of the enemy immediately after the capture of the city of Selidovo began in the lane of the 2nd name sharply increases efforts. But not only there, but also in the lane of the 90th Tank Division, which part of its forces (and continues to act) in the Kurakhiv direction.

That is, it became obvious that the enemy shifted his major efforts from the North Fas (Flank) of the hypothetical coverage The battles "for Pokrovsk" will be mostly determined by the results of the fighting in Selidovo, well, in fact, it turns out) . . .

In the Pokrovsky direction of the command "Center" the enemy involved from three all-military armies (2nd, 41st and 51 -shawa) and one separate tank division (90th td)-one name (2nd-a-AS)-completely, the other (41st hewing)-at least half and as well-half a separate tank division (90th TD ).

Thus, from the three main operational-tactical directions of this group (Toretsky, Pokrovsky and Kurakhivsky), where his forces and means operate, at one of them (Pokrovsky) operates at least half of the troops of this group. Its main feature, just the tactical breakthrough of the Russian troops south of M. Pokrovsk, is about the site between Novogrodivka and the village of Zorya, in particular: at this time the enemy seized the village. Novotroitske and village.

Shevchenko (in fact, having punched on the nearby approaches to Pokrovsk from the south), he moved close to the Lisivka - Dachenskoye Rubezh (covering the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces in Pokrovsk from the South and South East). In these actions, in addition to the units of the 27th ISD, the 30th OMSBr of the enemy also takes.

At the same time, the enemy, obviously, seeks to provide the actions of his troops south of Pokrovsk from the west from the possible counterattack of the Armed Forces, trying to reach the border of Novotroitske - Ukrainian. In this sense, his advanced units (90th TD) managed to move to the west of the village. Pushkine and approach the village. Novoalenivka from the north (from Novotroitsk).

In turn, in the strip of the offensive of the 27th SMD of the 2nd TEA of the enemy, its advanced units (589th and 506th SMEs) conducted several unsuccessful attacks in the area of ​​S. Mykolaivka, seeking, obviously, to break towards the village. Ray and to the southern suburbs of Mirnograd. In the auxiliary direction, in the lane of the 41st name of the enemy, his advanced units (more likely, 74th OMSBR) made several attempts limited on the scale , which ended for the enemy to no avail.

Currently, for further efforts on the NSU, the enemy will in the near future put into battle of the 15th OMSBR in the interval between the 27th MSD and the 90th TD, which will allow him to compact him direction on the village. Ukrainian. South of Pokrovsk, the enemy apparently has a significant tactical success, which significantly complicates the organization and defense for the Armed Forces in the whole area of ​​Pokrovsk.

For me, the sequence of tasks that the enemy command generally solves in the operative-tactical terms between Toretsk and the Great Novosilka, it looks like-the end of the liquidation of our Kurakhiv speech, the capture of the area of ​​the village. Greater Novosilka and Uremiyivka and only then - Pokrovsk . . . Perhaps the second and third task will try to solve the enemy at the same time.

Directly in the Pokrovsky direction, the breakthrough of the enemy south of the city and west from Selidov took place about 1-1. 5 weeks ago, from that moment on the pace of its promotion decreased. But, obviously, it is located very "near" from achieving its closest tasks in the tactical zone (to completely go to the border of Novotroitske - a Ukrainian and even try to "catch" for the southern outskirts of Pokrovsk himself).

In this sense, sooner or later, it is still worth expecting a "revival" of the enemy and in the strip of his 41st hewing, because to start, obviously heavy assault battles for Pokrovsk himself, without pre-embraced from the north and northeast-not The best solution. Therefore, peacekeeping and new economic - under a very real threat. And finally, one conclusion (as probably assumption and answer to the question).

Why did the command of the enemy after the seizure of Selidovo immediately began in a hurry to attack Pokrovsk from the south, because it would be more sense if at the same time the enemy would start such actions to the north of Pokrovsk? At this point, our troops are conducting heavy defensive (including harrows) battles around the perimeter of Kurakhivskyi speech - in the area of ​​the village. Dawn, Sun, Shevchenko, Dachne, Kurakhov, Uspens, Dry Yalas, south of the spill.

But with a gradual "compression" of this speech, or another number of Ukrainian troops will be released. It is likely that the Armed Forces will go to the border of the Ukrainian - Andreevka - spill - the newly -kept. The length of the LBZ in these directions (Kurakhivsky and Uremivsky) will be objectively reduced. Accordingly, there will be a certain opportunity to "seal somewhere and somehow", and even something to "reserve".

Therefore, I think the Russian command and hastened to intensify in the Pokrovsky direction, as long as the situation in neighboring directions, where the Armed Forces, is forced to defend the sufficiently stretched LBZ by limited forces and means. The rush of the enemy is explained by the desire to "take advantage of the moment" while the defense system of the Armed Forces in the Pokrovsky direction, according to its command, is stretched and weakened.