"Northern Gate" to Slavyansk. What is the Russian Federation throwing armored groups under Kupyansk

The Limano-Kubyansky direction again becomes hot: Russian troops want to move to the rainy season with the Kupyansk-Svatovo-Kreminna line and southeast of Kupyansk, according to the construction of the American Institute for War Study (ISW). The deterioration of weather conditions in October-November will complicate the maneuvers of the mechanized and infantry components, so it is necessary to act in a hurry.

ISW analysts note the strengthening of attacks northeast of Kupyansk in the Sinkivka area, Kucherivka, Pervomaisky and Golubivka, east in the Petropavlivka area, near Lozova, Novoosinov, Sand, Glushkivka, Kruglykivka, Kolesnikivka and in the direction of Grusivka. According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces, in Kupyansk direction for October 15, the Russians attacked Ukrainian positions 28 times.

In the estuary direction, the enemy attacked 16 times and tried to wedged in the defense of the Armed Forces near Greek, Makeevka, Nevsky, Zarichny and Tornsky. In turn, in the Pokrovsky direction of the Armed Forces, 26 attempts to attack Novotroitsky, Mirolyubivka, Luch, Red Yar and Kritted Yar were prevented.

In connection with the aggravation of the situation, officials decided to increase the evacuation of the residents of Kupyansk and three front -line communities: Kindrashiv, Kurilov and Petropavlovskaya. The restoration of electricity, heat and water supply in Kupyansk is no longer possible to guarantee, indicated by the head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration Oleg Synigubov.

Currently, there are almost 4,000 people on the left bank of the Oskil River, and up to 3,000 on the right bank will be evacuated to Kharkiv, the settlements of Kharkiv and other regions. The Russian military captured Kupyansk in the first days of a full -scale invasion of Ukraine. An important railway knot was occupied for about 7 months. The Armed Forces liberated the city during a counter -offensive in September 2022.

From Kupyansk to the front line less than 10 kilometers, the city is fired at mortars, artillery, and rocket launchers. And since January 2024, Kupyansk has been hit by corrected airbags. On February 24, 2024, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the Defense Line of Ukrainian Defense in Kharkiv Oblast is "quite good". Therefore, you should not be afraid of Kupyansk's re -occupation.

The dangerous trends of recent times on the Limano-Kupyansk axis confirms in conversation with focus coordinator of the group "Information resistance", military expert Alexander Kovalenko. "The task of the Russians is to go to the rivers Starbets and Oscol, the control area is already expanding in the Nevsky and Makeevka area. In fact, they have already entered the left bank of the stallion.

In the future, the fighting will be in the direction of Novolyubivka to close the flank with Makeevka," - says the window. Attempting to break through the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to the left bank of Oscol is no less likely, so the situation does not add optimism, Kovalenko added. In addition, the Russian command has set the task to capture the important settlement of Kupyansk-nodular as soon as possible.

With such a scenario, the Russians will have control over the railway to promote south before the agglomeration "Slavyansk - Kramatorsk - Druzhkivka". In general, Kupyansky direction in the north of the Donbass is one of the priority, while in the south the occupiers are coming to Kurakhovo and Pokrovsk, says the head of the Center for Military Legal Research Alexander Musienko. The activity of armored groups of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is observed in order to capture Kupyansk.

The fighting is forcing the Armed Forces to stretch units along the defense line, thus facilitating the task of capturing Toretsk and Selidovy. It should be borne in mind that the promotion of Russians in the Kupyansk direction threatens the estuary, the "northern gate" in the Donbas. "These plans are not new, they were also tried to implement in 2023. The left bank of the Oskil River is now important for fixing the bridgehead.

It is difficult to go directly to the estuary and Svyatogorsk without stabilizing the front line," Musienko says. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation could not reach Slavyansk during the attacks, and in the estuary were in the half -point of the Ukrainian forces in 2022, the expert reminded. We will remind, as of October 11, the invaders seized about half of the city of Toretsk of Donetsk region. Civilians are evacuated with Toretsk with considerable difficulty.