2 support scenarios of Ukraine: Trump can go to escalation from the Russian Federation after the election - WSJ

According to Professor Michael Kimmegea's history, if the politician becomes president for the second time, he will be less cautious about nuclear warfare, and can also allow Russian weapons. If Donald Trump becomes the President of the United States after the election in November this year, he is unlikely to completely abandon Ukraine. In addition, he can even go to escalation. This is stated in The Wall Street Journal.

Currently, the American politician regularly says that Kiev is some extent to a burden for Washington and must stop it with the allocation of financial and military assistance. This, in his opinion, affects the duration of the war, which can be completed by negotiation only in 24 hours. Many are afraid of the material that if it really can become a head of state for the second time, it will ignore Russia's actions or help it at all.

"But this will be a difficult step for Trump, and there is reason to believe that his rhetoric against Ukraine is more political statements than a plan of action," said a history professor at Catholic University Michael Kimmegei. As an example, the professor suggested that the 2016 election campaign. During her, the politician voiced everything that he did not perform as a president.

In the period from 2017 to 2021 he did not make concessions of Russia and did not recognize Crimea as the aggressor. Moreover, Donald Trump sent lethal military assistance to Kiev, including Javelin anti -tank missiles. In addition, if he really wanted to give up Ukraine, says Michael Kimmege, he would also have to "fight" his own party, which could be disagreeable with his policy.

"In 2017, the Congress headed by the Republican Party imposed sanctions against Russia that the White House did not want, and today the republican legislators and among the republican electorate are kept in strong pro -Ukrainian sentiment," the professor said. As a result, if the second term of Donald Trump takes place, the situation between Ukraine and Russia can follow two scenarios: the war will continue or the US will be drawn into it even deeper.

The professor writes that the American politician is afraid of defeat, so it can continue the policy of the current head of the White House - Joe Biden. Accordingly, Ukraine will not push Ukraine to negotiate, and military assistance will continue. But with the European continent, the relationship may remain as bad as it was during Donald Trump's first cadence. At the same time, the war in Ukraine is in no way related to its position.

If Donald Trump still becomes president, he can change US calculations and give Kiev those weapons systems that the White House now refuses. Moreover, it can allow the Armed Forces to be killed in the Russian territory, which is now forbidden. But as for the issue of probable nuclear war, Donald Trump may be less cautious than his predecessors. This is necessary to improve the position on the negotiating table and bluff, says Michael Kimmegei. "Trump can go to escalation, not wanting escalation.

His anarchic style of communication creates risks. He choices from his shoulder, most often through social networks. Unable to end the war after 24 hours, Trump can raise the rates, and Putin can answer the same," - the professor summed up. We will remind, on May 4 it was reported that Donald Trump prepared a secret plan of peace for Ukraine and Russia, which will help to stop the murder.